Royce Total Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

RYTFX Fund  USD 7.92  0.13  1.67%   
The fund holds a Beta of 1.35, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Royce Total will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Royce Total Return are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Royce Total showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Midmarket Firm Truelink Capital Targets 1.5 Billion for Sophomore Fund - The Wall Street Journal
12/03/2025
Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio1.4900
  

Royce Total Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  605.00  in Royce Total Return on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  187.00  from holding Royce Total Return or generate 30.91% return on investment over 90 days. Royce Total Return is currently producing 0.4618% returns and takes up 2.0502% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 18% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Royce, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Royce Total is expected to generate 2.54 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Royce Total Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
7.92
Please note that Royce Total's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Royce Total Return holds a recent Real Value of $8.34 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $7.92. We determine the value of Royce Total Return from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Royce Total is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Royce Mutual Fund. However, Royce Total's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.92 Real  8.34 Hype  7.96
The intrinsic value of Royce Total's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Royce Total's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.34
Real Value
10.39
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Royce Total Return helps investors to forecast how Royce mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Royce Total more accurately as focusing exclusively on Royce Total's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.917.9610.01
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Royce Total Return extending back to January 15, 2002. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Royce Total stands at 7.92, as last reported on the 9th of February, with the highest price reaching 7.92 and the lowest price hitting 7.92 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Royce Total Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Royce Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.92 90 days 7.92 
about 7.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royce Total to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.86 (This Royce Total Return probability density function shows the probability of Royce Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.35 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Royce Total will likely underperform. Additionally Royce Total Return has an alpha of 0.31, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Royce Total Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Royce Total

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royce Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.917.9610.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.298.3410.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Royce Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Royce Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Royce Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Royce Total Return.

Royce Total Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royce Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royce Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royce Total Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royce Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Royce Total Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royce Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royce Total Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 95.88% of its assets in stocks

Royce Total Fundamentals Growth

Royce Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Royce Total, and Royce Total fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Royce Mutual Fund performance.

About Royce Total Performance

Evaluating Royce Total's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Royce Total has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Royce Total has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Normally, the fund invests at least 65 percent of its net assets in dividend-paying equity securities. In addition, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of small-cap companies, under normal circumstances. Although the fund normally focuses on securities of U.S. companies, it may invest up to 25 percent of its net assets in securities of companies headquartered in foreign countries.

Things to note about Royce Total Return performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Royce Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Royce Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 95.88% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Royce Total's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Royce Total's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Royce Total's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Royce Total's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Royce Total's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Royce Total's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Royce Total's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Royce Total's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Royce Total's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Royce Total's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Royce Total's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Royce Mutual Fund

Royce Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Royce Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Royce with respect to the benefits of owning Royce Total security.
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