Sugar Commodity Performance

SBUSX Commodity   14.26  0.44  2.99%   
The entity has a beta of 0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Sugar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Sugar is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Sugar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Sugar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

Sugar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,465  in Sugar on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (39.00) from holding Sugar or give up 2.66% of portfolio value over 90 days. Sugar is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.3737% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 12% of traded commoditys are less volatile than Sugar, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sugar is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Sugar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Sugar Commodity price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.26 90 days 14.26 
over 95.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sugar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.99 (This Sugar probability density function shows the probability of Sugar Commodity to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sugar has a beta of 0.31. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sugar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sugar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sugar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sugar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sugar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sugar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the commodity market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the commodity market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sugar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Sugar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sugar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sugar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sugar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sugar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Sugar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sugar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sugar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sugar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sugar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days