Starbucks Stock Performance

SBUX Stock  USD 97.62  1.79  1.87%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Starbucks holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 1.22, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Starbucks will likely underperform. Please check Starbucks' downside variance, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Starbucks' existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Starbucks are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Starbucks showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.87
Five Day Return
6.39
Year To Date Return
16.26
Ten Year Return
69.16
All Time Return
29 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0254
Payout Ratio
1.1604
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.48
Dividend Date
2026-02-27
 
Starbucks dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
1
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01/08/2026
2
New York often takes a lot of heat but we are a city like no other
01/13/2026
3
Starbucks snaps six straight sessions of gains
01/16/2026
4
Starbucks assistant managers are now coffeehouse coaches
01/20/2026
5
Popular Coffee Chain Closing Several Stores Across Bay Area Report
01/21/2026
6
Starbucks to Host 2026 Investor Day on January 29, 2026
01/22/2026
7
Sleeping On The Job DC Opens Medicaid Investigation Following Nurse And Aide Neglect Claims
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.5 B

Starbucks Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,482  in Starbucks on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,280  from holding Starbucks or generate 15.09% return on investment over 90 days. Starbucks is currently generating 0.2438% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.857% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Starbucks, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Starbucks is expected to generate 2.52 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Starbucks Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Starbucks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 97.62 90 days 97.62 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Starbucks to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Starbucks probability density function shows the probability of Starbucks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Starbucks will likely underperform. Additionally Starbucks has an alpha of 0.1523, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Starbucks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Starbucks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starbucks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Starbucks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.5797.4499.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.1899.05100.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.9399.80101.68
Details
34 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
87.2495.87106.42
Details

Starbucks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Starbucks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Starbucks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Starbucks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Starbucks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
3.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Starbucks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Starbucks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Starbucks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starbucks has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Starbucks currently holds 26.61 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 807.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Starbucks has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Starbucks' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Starbucks has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of Starbucks shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zerohedge.com: Sleeping On The Job DC Opens Medicaid Investigation Following Nurse And Aide Neglect Claims

Starbucks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Starbucks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Starbucks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starbucks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 B

Starbucks Fundamentals Growth

Starbucks Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Starbucks, and Starbucks fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Starbucks Stock performance.

About Starbucks Performance

Evaluating Starbucks' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Starbucks has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Starbucks has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 24.51  23.28 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.13  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.24  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.12  0.09 
Return On Equity(0.50)(0.48)

Things to note about Starbucks performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Starbucks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Starbucks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starbucks has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Starbucks currently holds 26.61 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 807.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Starbucks has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Starbucks' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Starbucks has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of Starbucks shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zerohedge.com: Sleeping On The Job DC Opens Medicaid Investigation Following Nurse And Aide Neglect Claims
Evaluating Starbucks' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Starbucks' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Starbucks' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Starbucks' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Starbucks' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Starbucks' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Starbucks' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Starbucks' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Starbucks' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Starbucks' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Starbucks' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Starbucks Stock Analysis

When running Starbucks' price analysis, check to measure Starbucks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Starbucks is operating at the current time. Most of Starbucks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Starbucks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Starbucks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Starbucks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.