Swan Defined Risk Manager Performance

SDCIXDelisted Fund  USD 9.54  0.00  0.00%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0088, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Swan Defined are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Swan Defined is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Swan Defined Risk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Swan Defined is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Swan Defined Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  954.00  in Swan Defined Risk on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Swan Defined Risk or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Swan Defined Risk is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Swan, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  

Swan Defined Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.54
Please note that Swan Defined's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Swan Defined Risk has a current Real Value of $9.4 per share. The regular price of the fund is $9.54. We determine the value of Swan Defined Risk from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Swan Defined is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Swan Mutual Fund. However, Swan Defined's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.54 Real  9.4 Hype  9.54 Naive  8.75
The intrinsic value of Swan Defined's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Swan Defined's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.40
Real Value
10.49
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Swan Defined Risk helps investors to forecast how Swan mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Swan Defined more accurately as focusing exclusively on Swan Defined's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.6112.3417.06
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.549.549.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.758.758.75
Details

Swan Defined Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Swan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.54 90 days 9.54 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swan Defined to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Swan Defined Risk probability density function shows the probability of Swan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Swan Defined Risk has a beta of -0.0088. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Swan Defined are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Swan Defined Risk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Swan Defined Risk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Swan Defined Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swan Defined

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swan Defined Risk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.549.549.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.409.4010.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.758.758.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.6112.3417.06
Details

Swan Defined Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swan Defined is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swan Defined's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swan Defined Risk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swan Defined within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0088
σ
Overall volatility
1.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Swan Defined Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swan Defined for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swan Defined Risk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swan Defined Risk is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Swan Defined Risk has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cathie Woods ARK Funds Have Crushed the Market This Year. Whats Shes Buying Now. - Barrons
The fund maintains about 6.8% of its assets in cash

Swan Defined Fundamentals Growth

Swan Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Swan Defined, and Swan Defined fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Swan Mutual Fund performance.

About Swan Defined Performance

Evaluating Swan Defined's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Swan Defined has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Swan Defined has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing directly, or indirectly through ETFs, in equity securities of domestic small capitalization companies, exchange-traded long-term put options on U.S. exchanges for hedging purposes, and buying and selling exchange-traded put and call options on various ETFs, securities and equity indices to generate additional returns. Swan Defined is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Swan Defined Risk performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swan Defined for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Swan Defined Risk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Swan Defined Risk is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Swan Defined Risk has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cathie Woods ARK Funds Have Crushed the Market This Year. Whats Shes Buying Now. - Barrons
The fund maintains about 6.8% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Swan Defined's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Swan Defined's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Swan Defined's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Swan Defined's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Swan Defined's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Swan Defined's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Swan Defined's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Swan Defined's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Swan Defined's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Swan Defined's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Swan Defined's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Swan Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Swan Defined Risk check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Swan Defined's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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