Stardust Power Stock Performance
| SDST Stock | 4.40 0.12 2.80% |
Stardust Power has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 2.43, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Stardust Power will likely underperform. Stardust Power right now has a risk of 6.03%. Please validate Stardust Power downside variance, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Stardust Power will be following its existing price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Stardust Power are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Stardust Power is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.8 | Five Day Return (3.72) | Year To Date Return 29.03 | Ten Year Return (96.21) | All Time Return (96.21) |
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Last Split Date 2025-09-08 |
1 | Stardust Power Fully Compliant with Nasdaq Listing Requirements | 10/31/2025 |
2 | Stardust Power Inc Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Alignments and Market ... | 11/14/2025 |
3 | Will Stardust Power Inc. stock justify high valuation - Market Movers Weekly High Potential Stock Alerts - newser.com | 11/17/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 31819 shares by Pujari Roshen of Stardust Power subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/01/2025 |
5 | Can Stardust Power Inc. stock sustain breakout momentum - Earnings Overview Report Long-Term Growth Portfolio Plans - Newser | 12/02/2025 |
6 | Stardust Power Receives Independent Review Of Its Muskogee Lithium Refinery | 12/10/2025 |
7 | Disposition of 241 shares by Pablo Cortegoso of Stardust Power at 3.46 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/15/2025 |
8 | Stardust Power Inc. SDST Stake Lowered by Luminus Management LLC | 12/16/2025 |
9 | Stardust Power Secures Financing To Advance Oklahoma Lithium Refinery Toward Construction | 12/24/2025 |
10 | Stardust Power Engages 38 North Solutions To Support Federal Government Relations | 01/07/2026 |
11 | Stardust Power Hires Mr. Bruce Czachor as General Counsel | 01/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -4.8 M |
Stardust Power Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 465.00 in Stardust Power on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (25.00) from holding Stardust Power or give up 5.38% of portfolio value over 90 days. Stardust Power is currently generating 0.0898% in daily expected returns and assumes 6.0339% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 54% of stocks are less volatile than Stardust, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Stardust Power Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Stardust Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.40 | 90 days | 4.40 | about 11.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stardust Power to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.66 (This Stardust Power probability density function shows the probability of Stardust Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.43 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Stardust Power will likely underperform. Additionally Stardust Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stardust Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stardust Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stardust Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stardust Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stardust Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stardust Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stardust Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stardust Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stardust Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Stardust Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stardust Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stardust Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stardust Power had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Stardust Power has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (23.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Stardust Power generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Does Nvidias CES Spotlight Sharpen or Blur Serve Robotics Physical AI Investment Narrative |
Stardust Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stardust Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stardust Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stardust Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 912.6 K |
Stardust Power Fundamentals Growth
Stardust Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Stardust Power, and Stardust Power fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Stardust Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | -1.55 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 44.18 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 9.82 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (16.12 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (23.75 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 10.01 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.57) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (9.72 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.89) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 42.02 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 9.02 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (52.62 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (22.86 M) | ||||
About Stardust Power Performance
Assessing Stardust Power's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Stardust Power's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Stardust Power is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (3.03) | (2.88) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 1.01 | 1.06 | |
| Return On Assets | (3.03) | (2.88) | |
| Return On Equity | 1.10 | 1.16 |
Things to note about Stardust Power performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stardust Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Stardust Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stardust Power had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Stardust Power has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (23.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Stardust Power generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Does Nvidias CES Spotlight Sharpen or Blur Serve Robotics Physical AI Investment Narrative |
- Analyzing Stardust Power's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Stardust Power's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Stardust Power's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Stardust Power's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Stardust Power's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Stardust Power's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Stardust Power's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Stardust Stock Analysis
When running Stardust Power's price analysis, check to measure Stardust Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stardust Power is operating at the current time. Most of Stardust Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stardust Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stardust Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stardust Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.