Catalystexceed Defined Shield Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SHIIX Fund  USD 10.95  0.02  0.18%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Catalyst/exceed Defined's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Catalyst/exceed Defined is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Catalystexceed Defined Shield are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Catalyst/exceed Defined is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Vanguard to Offer Target-Date Funds That Contain Annuities - Barrons
12/03/2025
Expense Ratio Date1st of November 2025
Expense Ratio1.3500
  

Catalyst/exceed Defined Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,075  in Catalystexceed Defined Shield on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  20.00  from holding Catalystexceed Defined Shield or generate 1.86% return on investment over 90 days. Catalystexceed Defined Shield is currently producing 0.0311% returns and takes up 0.2633% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Catalyst/exceed, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalyst/exceed Defined is expected to generate 1.59 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 2.85 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Catalyst/exceed Defined Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
10.95
Please note that Catalyst/exceed Defined's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Catalyst/exceed Defined shows a prevailing Real Value of $10.91 per share. The current price of the fund is $10.95. We determine the value of Catalyst/exceed Defined from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Catalyst/exceed Defined is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund. However, Catalyst/exceed Defined's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.95 Real  10.91 Hype  10.95 Naive  10.94
The intrinsic value of Catalyst/exceed Defined's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Catalyst/exceed Defined's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.91
Real Value
11.17
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Catalystexceed Defined Shield helps investors to forecast how Catalyst/exceed mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Catalyst/exceed Defined more accurately as focusing exclusively on Catalyst/exceed Defined's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8610.9110.97
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6910.9511.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.6810.9411.20
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Catalystexceed Defined Shield extending back to April 15, 2015. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Catalyst/exceed Defined stands at 10.95, as last reported on the 27th of January, with the highest price reaching 10.95 and the lowest price hitting 10.95 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Catalyst/exceed Defined Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.95 90 days 10.95 
about 6.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalyst/exceed Defined to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.86 (This Catalystexceed Defined Shield probability density function shows the probability of Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalyst/exceed Defined has a beta of 0.28. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Catalyst/exceed Defined average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catalystexceed Defined Shield will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catalystexceed Defined Shield has an alpha of 0.0039, implying that it can generate a 0.003866 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Catalyst/exceed Defined Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Catalyst/exceed Defined

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalyst/exceed Defined. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6910.9511.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6510.9111.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6810.9411.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8610.9110.97
Details

Catalyst/exceed Defined Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalyst/exceed Defined is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalyst/exceed Defined's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalystexceed Defined Shield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalyst/exceed Defined within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Catalyst/exceed Defined Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalyst/exceed Defined for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalyst/exceed Defined can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 10.82% of its assets in cash

Catalyst/exceed Defined Fundamentals Growth

Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Catalyst/exceed Defined, and Catalyst/exceed Defined fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund performance.

About Catalyst/exceed Defined Performance

Evaluating Catalyst/exceed Defined's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Catalyst/exceed Defined has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Catalyst/exceed Defined has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in put and call options on exchange traded funds that track the SP 500 Index , and in fixed income securities. Using a combination of put and call options on index ETFs, the funds investment sub-advisor, Exceed Advisory LLC initially executes the equity options strategy by seeking to provide an investment vehicle that limits losses to 12.5 percent when the index declines in value, and to participate in increases in the index up to approximately 15.

Things to note about Catalyst/exceed Defined performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalyst/exceed Defined for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Catalyst/exceed Defined help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 10.82% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Catalyst/exceed Defined's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Catalyst/exceed Defined's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Catalyst/exceed Defined's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Catalyst/exceed Defined's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Catalyst/exceed Defined's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Catalyst/exceed Defined's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Catalyst/exceed Defined's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Catalyst/exceed Defined's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Catalyst/exceed Defined's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Catalyst/exceed Defined's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Catalyst/exceed Defined's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund

Catalyst/exceed Defined financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst/exceed Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst/exceed with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst/exceed Defined security.
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