Shopify Stock Performance
| SHOP Stock | USD 114.02 5.27 4.42% |
The entity has a beta of 2.02, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Shopify will likely underperform. At this point, Shopify has a negative expected return of -0.43%. Please make sure to validate Shopify's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Shopify performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Shopify has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.42) | Five Day Return (18.83) | Year To Date Return (27.47) | Ten Year Return 4.8 K | All Time Return 6.6 K |
Last Split Factor 10:1 | Last Split Date 2022-06-29 |
1 | Assessing Shopify Valuation As Momentum Cools After Strong Multi Year Shareholder Returns | 01/06/2026 |
2 | Did Shopifys AI Push Into Gemini and Copilot Just Shift Shopifys Investment Narrative | 01/12/2026 |
3 | Looking At The Narrative For Shopify SHOP As Growth And AI Recast The Story | 01/20/2026 |
4 | Oppenheimer Sees Shopify Inc. Positioned for Recovery Despite Software AI Volatility | 01/26/2026 |
5 | Is Shopifys Agentic Commerce Pivot Rewiring Its Competitive Moat Or Just Its Partnerships | 01/27/2026 |
6 | Shopify to Announce Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results February 11, 2026 | 01/28/2026 |
7 | Shopify Inc. is Attracting Investor Attention Here is What You Should Know | 01/30/2026 |
8 | Shopify Inc. Sees Large Decrease in Short Interest | 02/02/2026 |
9 | Shopify Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market What Investors Need to Know | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.4 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.6 B |
Shopify Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 15,241 in Shopify on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,839) from holding Shopify or give up 25.19% of portfolio value over 90 days. Shopify is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.2562% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Shopify, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Shopify Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Shopify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 114.02 | 90 days | 114.02 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shopify to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Shopify probability density function shows the probability of Shopify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Shopify Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shopify
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shopify. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shopify Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shopify is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shopify's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shopify, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shopify within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Shopify Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shopify for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shopify can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shopify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shopify has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Shopify is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Valley Wealth Managers Inc. Makes New Investment in Salesforce Inc. CRM |
Shopify Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shopify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shopify's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shopify's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 B |
Shopify Fundamentals Growth
Shopify Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shopify, and Shopify fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shopify Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0774 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 167.3 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.23 B | ||||
| Price To Earning | 282.85 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 12.44 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 14.56 X | ||||
| Revenue | 8.88 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 5.21 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.34 B | ||||
| Net Income | 2.02 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.5 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.88 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.13 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 6.64 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.61 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.62 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.36 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 155.68 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 13.92 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.63 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 5.3 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 202.47 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 37.24 M | ||||
About Shopify Performance
Assessing Shopify's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Shopify's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Shopify is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.94 | 1.64 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.15 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.13 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | 0.17 |
Things to note about Shopify performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shopify for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shopify help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shopify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shopify has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Shopify is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Valley Wealth Managers Inc. Makes New Investment in Salesforce Inc. CRM |
- Analyzing Shopify's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shopify's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Shopify's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Shopify's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shopify's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shopify's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shopify's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Shopify Stock Analysis
When running Shopify's price analysis, check to measure Shopify's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shopify is operating at the current time. Most of Shopify's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shopify's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shopify's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shopify to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.