iShares Silver Trust ETF Performance

SLV ETF  USD 66.66  1.82  2.81%   
IShares Silver's period returns and the standard risk-adjusted performance ratios are summarized. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is -0.0314%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
iShares Silver Trust has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. At mid-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. IShares Silver is delivering weak return efficiency relative to its risk profile. Latest price sell-off suggests continued near-short-term downside pressure for market participants. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 7,244 in iShares Silver Trust on January 31, 2026 and sold it today you would have lost $ 579.00 from holding iShares Silver Trust or given up 7.99% of portfolio value over 90 days. iShares Silver Trust is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 4.51% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, IShares exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 60% of comparable etfs, and SLV delivers lower expected returns than 99% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Over a 90-day investment horizon, SLV has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, SLV is 4.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.01%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.01% per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of iShares Silver Trust

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for iShares Silver Trust extending back to April 28, 2006. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of IShares Silver stands at 66.66, as last reported on the 1st of May, with the highest price reaching 66.81 and the lowest price hitting 65.88 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for ETFs like IShares ETF. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction. Periods of persistent mispricing in some ETFs highlight the role of additional risk in pricing dynamics. This framework supports more structured thinking about where IShares ETF price is likely to settle over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
66.66 90 days 66.66
about 75.55
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of IShares Silver moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 75.55 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This iShares Silver Trust distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in IShares ETF over a 90-day period).
Over a 90-day investment horizon, the ETF has the beta coefficient of 2.11 . This usually implies when the benchmark rises, SLV tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, IShares Silver tends to underperform. Additionally, IShares Silver Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. SLV is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   IShares Silver Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares Silver

Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast iShares Silver Trust within the ETF market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by iShares Silver Trust predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in iShares Silver Trust price data. For iShares Silver Trust, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in IShares Silver's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, IShares Silver's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Mean reversion in IShares Silver's is often observed around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for IShares Silver shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
62.1166.6271.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
58.1262.6367.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.2355.7460.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.7167.9275.13
Details
IShares Silver is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where IShares Silver leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set. Benchmarking earnings quality and balance sheet strength against peers provides additional valuation context. IShares Silver's relative positioning within the peer group reflects its competitive dynamics as currently priced by the market.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the ETF market challenging for IShares Silver investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of iShares Silver Trust. Watching for changes in IShares Silver's volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of IShares Silver risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5028
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.11
σ
Overall volatility
8.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.0862

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking IShares Silver through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful ETF developments. Reviewing iShares Silver Trust notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of IShares Silver through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of IShares Silver cannot match.
iShares Silver Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
iShares Silver Trust has high historical volatility and very poor performance
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IShares Silver Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price IShares ETF based on their assessment of IShares Silver's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving IShares ETF. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping IShares ETF. Long-term performance of IShares ETF depends on IShares Silver's ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

IShares Silver risk-adjusted performance compares returns to the volatility absorbed while tracking its benchmark. Higher risk-adjusted returns suggest that performance quality, not just magnitude, supports the result.

iShares Silver Trust data is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board