Alpssmith Total Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SMCHX Fund  USD 9.64  0.07  0.73%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0432, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alps/smith Total are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alps/smith Total is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Alpssmith Total Return has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical indicators, Alps/smith Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio1.5900
  

Alps/smith Total Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  970.00  in Alpssmith Total Return on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (6.00) from holding Alpssmith Total Return or give up 0.62% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alpssmith Total Return is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.2741% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Alps/smith, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alps/smith Total is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.84 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Alps/smith Total Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
9.64
Please note that Alps/smith Total's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Alpssmith Total Return shows a prevailing Real Value of $9.36 per share. The current price of the fund is $9.64. We determine the value of Alpssmith Total Return from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Alps/smith Total is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alps/smith Mutual Fund. However, Alps/smith Total's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.64 Real  9.36 Hype  9.57 Naive  9.57
The intrinsic value of Alps/smith Total's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alps/smith Total's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.36
Real Value
9.62
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alpssmith Total Return helps investors to forecast how Alps/smith mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alps/smith Total more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alps/smith Total's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
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9.539.579.62
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.319.579.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.319.579.82
Details

Alps/smith Total Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alps/smith Total's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Alpssmith Total Return, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Alps/smith Total's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0346

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.27
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Alps/smith Total is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Alps/smith Total by adding Alps/smith Total to a well-diversified portfolio.

Alps/smith Total Fundamentals Growth

Alps/smith Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alps/smith Total, and Alps/smith Total fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alps/smith Mutual Fund performance.

About Alps/smith Total Performance

Evaluating Alps/smith Total's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Alps/smith Total has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alps/smith Total has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund pursues its investment objective by primarily investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in bonds. Bonds include, but are not limited to, government notes and bonds, corporate bonds, convertible bonds, commercial and residential mortgage-backed securities, and zero-coupon bonds. It may also invest in asset-backed securities, money market instruments, commercial loans, and foreign debt securities .

Things to note about Alpssmith Total Return performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alps/smith Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Alpssmith Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alps/smith Total generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alpssmith Total Return generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains about 6.68% of its assets in bonds
Evaluating Alps/smith Total's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alps/smith Total's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Alps/smith Total's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alps/smith Total's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alps/smith Total's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alps/smith Total's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alps/smith Total's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alps/smith Total's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Alps/smith Total's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alps/smith Total's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alps/smith Total's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Alps/smith Mutual Fund

Alps/smith Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alps/smith Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alps/smith with respect to the benefits of owning Alps/smith Total security.
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Portfolio Backtesting
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Portfolio Suggestion
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Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon