Super Micro Computer Stock Performance

SMCI Stock   10.95  0.77  7.56%   
The entity has a beta of 2.09, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Super Micro will likely underperform. Super Micro Computer right now has a risk of 4.06%. Please validate Super Micro total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if Super Micro will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Super Micro Computer has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Super Micro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
1
Super Micro Stock Trades Down, Here Is Why - Yahoo Finance
12/12/2025
2
Super Micro The Market Sees Margin Pain, I See AI Boom Leverage - Seeking Alpha
01/06/2026
3
SMCI vs. META Which AI Infrastructure Stock Has an Edge Now - TradingView Track All Markets
01/21/2026
4
Super Micro Computer Secures Major New Credit Facilities - TipRanks
01/26/2026
5
Should You Hold or Fold Super Micro Computer Stock Before Q2 Earnings - Zacks Investment Research
01/29/2026
6
Super Micro Computer Inc Shatters Estimates with Explosive AI-Driven Growth - Chartmill
02/03/2026
7
Super Micro Computer Tumbles on AI Boom Backlash - 247 Wall St.
02/06/2026
8
Super Micro Computer Stock Why 123 percent Revenue Growth Isnt Enough of a Reason to Invest - The Motley Fool
02/09/2026
9
NVIDIA vs. SMCI Which AI Hardware Stock Is the Better Buy Now - The Globe and Mail
02/13/2026
10
Supermicro Eyes Make In India Move For AI Servers - Benzinga
02/19/2026
  

Super Micro Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,120  in Super Micro Computer on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (25.00) from holding Super Micro Computer or give up 2.23% of portfolio value over 90 days. Super Micro Computer is generating 0.0412% of daily returns and assumes 4.0638% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Super, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Super Micro is expected to generate 1.54 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.34 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Super Micro Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Super Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.95 90 days 10.95 
about 16.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Super Micro to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.29 (This Super Micro Computer probability density function shows the probability of Super Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.09 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Super Micro will likely underperform. Additionally Super Micro Computer has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Super Micro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Super Micro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Super Micro Computer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.8810.9415.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.938.9913.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.0811.1415.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-8.2210.3511.28
Details

Super Micro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Super Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Super Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Super Micro Computer, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Super Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Super Micro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Super Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Super Micro Computer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Super Micro Computer had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Supermicro Eyes Make In India Move For AI Servers - Benzinga

Super Micro Fundamentals Growth

Super Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Super Micro, and Super Micro fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Super Stock performance.

About Super Micro Performance

By analyzing Super Micro's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Super Micro's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Super Micro has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Super Micro has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Super Micro is entity of Canada. It is traded as Stock on NEO exchange.

Things to note about Super Micro Computer performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Super Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Super Micro Computer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Super Micro Computer had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Supermicro Eyes Make In India Move For AI Servers - Benzinga
Evaluating Super Micro's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Super Micro's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Super Micro's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Super Micro's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Super Micro's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Super Micro's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Super Micro's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Super Micro's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Super Micro's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Super Micro's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Super Micro's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Super Stock analysis

When running Super Micro's price analysis, check to measure Super Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Super Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Super Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Super Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Super Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Super Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance