Volato Group Stock Performance

SOAR Stock   0.64  0  0.62%   
The entity has a beta of 1.11, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Volato returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Volato is expected to follow. At this point, Volato Group has a negative expected return of -0.94%. Please make sure to validate Volato's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Volato Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Volato Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:25
Last Split Date
2025-02-24
1
New SOAR Content Framework Case Study by Notified Reveals Key Factors That Boost AI Visibility
11/19/2025
2
Can Volato Group Inc. Class stock sustain margin levels - Weekly Stock Recap Consistent Growth Stock Picks - Newser
12/02/2025
3
Volato Group Signs ATM Sales Agreement with Virtu - TipRanks
12/08/2025
4
Aviation tech firm plans move into 320B minerals market via merger - Stock Titan
12/17/2025
5
SOAR Stock Alert Halper Sadeh LLC Is Investigating Whether the Merger of Volato Group, Inc. Is Fair to Shareholders - marketscreener.com
12/22/2025
6
Peering Into Volato Group Incs Recent Short Interest
12/29/2025
7
Halper Sadeh LLC Encourages EXAS, SOAR, BTBD Shareholders to Contact the Firm to Discuss Their Rights
01/06/2026
8
M2i Global, along with Volato Group, Highlight Complementary Alignment with U.S. Policy on Critical Minerals Following White House Announcement - marketscreener...
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow16.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-115 K

Volato Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  143.00  in Volato Group on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (78.60) from holding Volato Group or give up 54.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Volato Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 8.4239% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 75% of stocks are less volatile than Volato, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Volato is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 11.27 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Volato Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Volato Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.64 90 days 0.64 
about 86.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Volato to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.18 (This Volato Group probability density function shows the probability of Volato Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This usually implies Volato Group market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Volato is expected to follow. Additionally Volato Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Volato Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Volato

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Volato Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.619.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.629.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.719.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.400.620.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Volato. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Volato's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Volato's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Volato Group.

Volato Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Volato is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Volato's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Volato Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Volato within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Volato Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Volato for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Volato Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Volato Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Volato Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Volato Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Volato Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 46.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.62 M.
Volato generates negative cash flow from operations
Volato Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: M2i Global, along with Volato Group, Highlight Complementary Alignment with U.S. Policy on Critical Minerals Following White House Announcement - marketscreener.com

Volato Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Volato Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Volato's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Volato's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 M

Volato Fundamentals Growth

Volato Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Volato, and Volato fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Volato Stock performance.

About Volato Performance

Assessing Volato's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Volato's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Volato is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.05)(1.10)
Return On Capital Employed 0.53  0.56 
Return On Assets(1.01)(1.06)
Return On Equity 2.24  2.35 

Things to note about Volato Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Volato for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Volato Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Volato Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Volato Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Volato Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Volato Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 46.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.62 M.
Volato generates negative cash flow from operations
Volato Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: M2i Global, along with Volato Group, Highlight Complementary Alignment with U.S. Policy on Critical Minerals Following White House Announcement - marketscreener.com
Evaluating Volato's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Volato's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Volato's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Volato's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Volato's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Volato's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Volato's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Volato's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Volato's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Volato's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Volato's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Volato Stock Analysis

When running Volato's price analysis, check to measure Volato's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volato is operating at the current time. Most of Volato's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volato's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volato's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volato to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.