Source Physical (UK) Performance

SPAP Etf   13,241  1,698  11.36%   
The entity has a beta of 0.52, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Source Physical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Source Physical is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Source Physical Palladium are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Source Physical unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Source Physical Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,047,000  in Source Physical Palladium on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  277,100  from holding Source Physical Palladium or generate 26.47% return on investment over 90 days. Source Physical Palladium is generating 0.4424% of daily returns and assumes 3.35% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 30% of etfs are less volatile than Source, and 92% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Source Physical is expected to generate 4.44 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Source Physical Palladium extending back to June 30, 2014. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Source Physical stands at 13,241, as last reported on the 28th of January, with the highest price reaching 14,351 and the lowest price hitting 13,147 during the day.
3 y Volatility
31.04
200 Day MA
9.2 K
1 y Volatility
32.76
50 Day MA
11.8 K
Inception Date
2011-04-13
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Source Physical Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Source Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13,241 90 days 13,241 
about 7.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Source Physical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.24 (This Source Physical Palladium probability density function shows the probability of Source Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Source Physical has a beta of 0.52. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Source Physical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Source Physical Palladium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Source Physical Palladium has an alpha of 0.3577, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Source Physical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Source Physical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Source Physical Palladium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13,23813,24113,244
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,97312,97614,565
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,04414,04714,050
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11,15212,82014,489
Details

Source Physical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Source Physical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Source Physical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Source Physical Palladium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Source Physical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
1,290
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Source Physical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Source Physical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Source Physical Palladium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Source Physical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: South Korea Greenlights Spot Bitcoin ETF For 2026 Kimchi Premium 2.0 Incoming - 99Bitcoins
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%

Source Physical Fundamentals Growth

Source Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Source Physical, and Source Physical fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Source Etf performance.

About Source Physical Performance

Assessing Source Physical's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Source Physical's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Source Physical is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Source Physical is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Etf on LSE exchange.
Source Physical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: South Korea Greenlights Spot Bitcoin ETF For 2026 Kimchi Premium 2.0 Incoming - 99Bitcoins
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%

Other Information on Investing in Source Etf

Source Physical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Source Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Source with respect to the benefits of owning Source Physical security.