Smartgroup Stock Performance

STGXF Stock  USD 5.82  0.00  0.00%   
The entity has a beta of -0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning SmartgroupLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, SmartgroupLtd is likely to outperform the market. At this point, SmartgroupLtd has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to validate SmartgroupLtd's mean deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and day median price , to decide if SmartgroupLtd performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Smartgroup has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow75.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.2 M
  

SmartgroupLtd Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  621.00  in Smartgroup on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (39.00) from holding Smartgroup or give up 6.28% of portfolio value over 90 days. Smartgroup is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.7976% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than SmartgroupLtd, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon SmartgroupLtd is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

SmartgroupLtd Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of SmartgroupLtd Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.82 90 days 5.82 
about 75.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SmartgroupLtd to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.31 (This Smartgroup probability density function shows the probability of SmartgroupLtd Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Smartgroup has a beta of -0.14. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SmartgroupLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Smartgroup is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Smartgroup has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SmartgroupLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SmartgroupLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SmartgroupLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SmartgroupLtd's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.025.826.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.885.686.48
Details

SmartgroupLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SmartgroupLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SmartgroupLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smartgroup, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SmartgroupLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

SmartgroupLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SmartgroupLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SmartgroupLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SmartgroupLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Smartgroup has accumulated 28.68 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. SmartgroupLtd has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SmartgroupLtd until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SmartgroupLtd's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SmartgroupLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SmartgroupLtd to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SmartgroupLtd's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

SmartgroupLtd Fundamentals Growth

SmartgroupLtd Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SmartgroupLtd, and SmartgroupLtd fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SmartgroupLtd Pink Sheet performance.

About SmartgroupLtd Performance

By analyzing SmartgroupLtd's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into SmartgroupLtd's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if SmartgroupLtd has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if SmartgroupLtd has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Smartgroup Corporation Ltd provides employee management services. Smartgroup Corporation Ltd was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia. Smartgroup Corp operates under Specialty Business Services classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 547 people.

Things to note about SmartgroupLtd performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about SmartgroupLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for SmartgroupLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SmartgroupLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Smartgroup has accumulated 28.68 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. SmartgroupLtd has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SmartgroupLtd until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SmartgroupLtd's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SmartgroupLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SmartgroupLtd to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SmartgroupLtd's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating SmartgroupLtd's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate SmartgroupLtd's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing SmartgroupLtd's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SmartgroupLtd's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining SmartgroupLtd's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating SmartgroupLtd's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SmartgroupLtd's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SmartgroupLtd's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into SmartgroupLtd's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating SmartgroupLtd's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact SmartgroupLtd's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running SmartgroupLtd's price analysis, check to measure SmartgroupLtd's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SmartgroupLtd is operating at the current time. Most of SmartgroupLtd's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SmartgroupLtd's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SmartgroupLtd's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SmartgroupLtd to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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