Sunopta Stock Performance

STKL Stock  USD 4.67  0.09  1.97%   
The entity has a beta of 1.6, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SunOpta will likely underperform. At this point, SunOpta has a negative expected return of -0.0706%. Please make sure to validate SunOpta's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if SunOpta performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SunOpta has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, SunOpta is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.97
Five Day Return
(2.30)
Year To Date Return
25.88
Ten Year Return
(18.21)
All Time Return
24.53
1
SunOpta Inc Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth Amid Operational ...
11/06/2025
2
Acquisition by Gaba Greg of 15000 shares of SunOpta at 3. subject to Rule 16b-3
11/24/2025
3
Acquisition by Fisher Rebecca of 20072 shares of SunOpta subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
4
SunOpta Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why
12/03/2025
5
SunOpta Shares Rise After Strong Plant-Based Product Output
12/10/2025
6
SunOpta Poised for Growth and Margin Expansion on Strong Non-Dairy Demand and Improved Operational Efficiency
12/16/2025
7
Disposition of 24666 shares by Brian Kocher of SunOpta subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
8
SunOpta celebrates 40 years on Nasdaq with bell ringing - Traders Union
01/08/2026
9
SunOpta raises outlook for FY25 revenue and adjusted EBITDA
01/12/2026
10
Is SunOpta Inc. Potentially Undervalued
01/14/2026
11
3 Stocks Under 10 That Concern Us
01/22/2026
12
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of SunOpta Inc.
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow8.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-18.7 M

SunOpta Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  526.00  in SunOpta on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (59.00) from holding SunOpta or give up 11.22% of portfolio value over 90 days. SunOpta is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.7825% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 42% of stocks are less volatile than SunOpta, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SunOpta is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

SunOpta Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of SunOpta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.67 90 days 4.67 
about 17.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SunOpta to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.59 (This SunOpta probability density function shows the probability of SunOpta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SunOpta will likely underperform. Additionally SunOpta has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SunOpta Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SunOpta

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SunOpta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.234.669.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.655.4310.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.299.07
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.197.908.77
Details

SunOpta Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SunOpta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SunOpta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SunOpta, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SunOpta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

SunOpta Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SunOpta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SunOpta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SunOpta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SunOpta has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 723.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.16 M.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of SunOpta Inc.

SunOpta Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SunOpta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SunOpta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SunOpta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding116.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 M

SunOpta Fundamentals Growth

SunOpta Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SunOpta, and SunOpta fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SunOpta Stock performance.

About SunOpta Performance

By examining SunOpta's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into SunOpta's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that SunOpta is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 51.68  70.61 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.25)(0.24)
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets(0.24)(0.23)
Return On Equity(1.03)(0.98)

Things to note about SunOpta performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about SunOpta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for SunOpta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SunOpta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SunOpta has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 723.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.16 M.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of SunOpta Inc.
Evaluating SunOpta's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate SunOpta's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing SunOpta's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SunOpta's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining SunOpta's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating SunOpta's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SunOpta's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SunOpta's stock. These opinions can provide insight into SunOpta's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating SunOpta's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact SunOpta's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether SunOpta is a strong investment it is important to analyze SunOpta's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SunOpta's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SunOpta Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in SunOpta. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy SunOpta Stock please use our How to buy in SunOpta Stock guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SunOpta. If investors know SunOpta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive SunOpta assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.891
Earnings Share
0.04
Revenue Per Share
6.736
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.168
Return On Assets
0.0443
Investors evaluate SunOpta using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating SunOpta's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause SunOpta's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SunOpta's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SunOpta is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, SunOpta's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.