Seagate Technology Plc Stock Performance

STX Stock  USD 371.76  13.47  3.76%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Seagate Technology holds a performance score of 12. The entity has a beta of 2.37, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Seagate Technology will likely underperform. Please check Seagate Technology's maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Seagate Technology's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Seagate Technology PLC are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Seagate Technology showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.52
Five Day Return
2.37
Year To Date Return
24.61
Ten Year Return
1.2 K
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0086
Payout Ratio
0.3353
Last Split Factor
1:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.96
Dividend Date
2026-01-09
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3
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Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-276 M

Seagate Technology Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  26,493  in Seagate Technology PLC on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10,683  from holding Seagate Technology PLC or generate 40.32% return on investment over 90 days. Seagate Technology PLC is generating 0.6432% of daily returns assuming volatility of 4.2134% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 37% of stocks are less volatile than Seagate, and above 88% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Seagate Technology is expected to generate 5.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Seagate Technology Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Seagate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 371.76 90 days 371.76 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seagate Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Seagate Technology PLC probability density function shows the probability of Seagate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.37 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Seagate Technology will likely underperform. Additionally Seagate Technology PLC has an alpha of 0.7114, implying that it can generate a 0.71 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Seagate Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seagate Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seagate Technology PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seagate Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
355.84360.03364.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
312.95317.14394.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
377.81382.01386.20
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
322.88354.82393.85
Details

Seagate Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seagate Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seagate Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seagate Technology PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seagate Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.71
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.37
σ
Overall volatility
31.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Seagate Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seagate Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seagate Technology PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seagate Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Seagate Technology is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Seagate Technology has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of January 2026 Seagate Technology paid $ 0.74 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Reassessing Seagate Technology Holdings After Its 226 percent One Year Share Price Surge

Seagate Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seagate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seagate Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seagate Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding217 M
Cash And Short Term Investments891 M

Seagate Technology Fundamentals Growth

Seagate Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Seagate Technology, and Seagate Technology fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Seagate Stock performance.

About Seagate Technology Performance

Evaluating Seagate Technology's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Seagate Technology has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Seagate Technology has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 90.18  94.69 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.09 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.07 
Return On Equity(0.22)(0.21)

Things to note about Seagate Technology PLC performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seagate Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Seagate Technology PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seagate Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Seagate Technology is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Seagate Technology has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of January 2026 Seagate Technology paid $ 0.74 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Reassessing Seagate Technology Holdings After Its 226 percent One Year Share Price Surge
Evaluating Seagate Technology's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Seagate Technology's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Seagate Technology's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Seagate Technology's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Seagate Technology's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Seagate Technology's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Seagate Technology's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Seagate Technology's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Seagate Technology's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Seagate Technology's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Seagate Technology's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Seagate Stock Analysis

When running Seagate Technology's price analysis, check to measure Seagate Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seagate Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Seagate Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seagate Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seagate Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seagate Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.