Firsthand Technology Value Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SVVC Fund  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -5.5, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Firsthand Technology are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Firsthand Technology is expected to outperform it.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Firsthand Technology Value are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of rather inconsistent basic indicators, Firsthand Technology exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Quick Ratio1.04
Fifty Two Week Low1.0700
Fifty Two Week High4.4800
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield494.51%
  

Firsthand Technology Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5.00  in Firsthand Technology Value on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding Firsthand Technology Value or give up 60.0% of portfolio value over 90 days. Firsthand Technology Value is currently generating 3.0508% in daily expected returns and assumes 37.876% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Firsthand, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Firsthand Technology is expected to generate 50.77 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 50.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Firsthand Technology Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
0.02
Please note that Firsthand Technology's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Firsthand Technology seems to be overvalued based on Macroaxis valuation methodology. We determine the value of Firsthand Technology from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise purchasing undervalued otc funds and exiting overvalued otc funds since, at some point, otc fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
The fair value of the Firsthand otc fund is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Firsthand Technology Value. Since Firsthand Technology is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Firsthand OTC Fund. However, Firsthand Technology's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.02 Real  0.02 Hype  0.02 Naive  0.0216
The real value of Firsthand OTC Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Firsthand Technology OTC Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Firsthand Technology's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Firsthand Technology's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
0.02
Real Value
37.90
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Firsthand Technology Value helps investors to forecast how Firsthand otc fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Firsthand Technology more accurately as focusing exclusively on Firsthand Technology's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.02
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0237.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.00040.0237.90
Details

Firsthand Technology Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Firsthand OTC Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 86.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Firsthand Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.52 (This Firsthand Technology Value probability density function shows the probability of Firsthand OTC Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Firsthand Technology Value has a beta of -5.5. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Firsthand Technology Value are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Firsthand Technology is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Firsthand Technology Value has an alpha of 3.5676, implying that it can generate a 3.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Firsthand Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Firsthand Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Firsthand Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Firsthand Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0237.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0237.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0237.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.02
Details

Firsthand Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Firsthand Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Firsthand Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Firsthand Technology Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Firsthand Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones-5.5
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Firsthand Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Firsthand Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Firsthand Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Firsthand Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Firsthand Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Firsthand Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Firsthand Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Firsthand OTC Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Firsthand Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firsthand Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.54%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.86
Short Percent Of Float0.60%
Shares Short Prior Month22.74k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.62k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month13.03k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield494.51%

Firsthand Technology Fundamentals Growth

Firsthand OTC Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Firsthand Technology, and Firsthand Technology fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Firsthand OTC Fund performance.

About Firsthand Technology Performance

By analyzing Firsthand Technology's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Firsthand Technology's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Firsthand Technology has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Firsthand Technology has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Firsthand Technology Value Fund, Inc. is a business development company specializes in venture capital investments in start-up, early stage, middle stage, late stage, early development stage, and PIPEs. The fund seeks to exit its investments through strategic acquisition by other industry participants, initial public offering of common stock, or other capital market transaction. Firsthand Technology operates under Asset Management classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange.

Things to note about Firsthand Technology performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Firsthand Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Fund alerts and notifications screener for Firsthand Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Firsthand Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Firsthand Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Firsthand Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Evaluating Firsthand Technology's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Firsthand Technology's otc fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Firsthand Technology's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Firsthand Technology's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Firsthand Technology's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Firsthand Technology's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Firsthand Technology's management team can help you assess the OTC Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Firsthand Technology's otc fund. These opinions can provide insight into Firsthand Technology's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Firsthand Technology's otc fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Firsthand Technology's otc fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Firsthand OTC Fund

Firsthand Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Firsthand OTC Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Firsthand with respect to the benefits of owning Firsthand Technology security.
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