SOUTHWEST AIRLINES (Germany) Performance
| SWN Stock | 35.24 0.17 0.48% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES holds a performance score of 16. The entity has a beta of 0.48, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SOUTHWEST AIRLINES is expected to be smaller as well. Please check SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SOUTHWEST AIRLINES are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 12.5 B | |
| Free Cash Flow | -156 M |
SOUTHWEST |
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,660 in SOUTHWEST AIRLINES on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 864.00 from holding SOUTHWEST AIRLINES or generate 32.48% return on investment over 90 days. SOUTHWEST AIRLINES is generating 0.507% of daily returns and assumes 2.4587% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 22% of stocks are less volatile than SOUTHWEST, and 90% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of SOUTHWEST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 35.24 | 90 days | 35.24 | about 18.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.21 (This SOUTHWEST AIRLINES probability density function shows the probability of SOUTHWEST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SOUTHWEST AIRLINES has a beta of 0.48. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SOUTHWEST AIRLINES average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SOUTHWEST AIRLINES will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SOUTHWEST AIRLINES has an alpha of 0.3016, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SOUTHWEST AIRLINES Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SOUTHWEST AIRLINES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOUTHWEST AIRLINES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SOUTHWEST AIRLINES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SOUTHWEST AIRLINES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SOUTHWEST Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 594 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 42 M |
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES Fundamentals Growth
SOUTHWEST Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES, and SOUTHWEST AIRLINES fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SOUTHWEST Stock performance.
| Current Valuation | 18.11 B | |||
| Price To Book | 2.04 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.05 X | |||
| Revenue | 23.81 B | |||
| EBITDA | 2.38 B | |||
| Total Debt | 8.05 B | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.79 B | |||
| Total Asset | 35.37 B | |||
About SOUTHWEST AIRLINES Performance
Assessing SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the SOUTHWEST AIRLINES is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Things to note about SOUTHWEST AIRLINES performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about SOUTHWEST AIRLINES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for SOUTHWEST AIRLINES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Evaluating SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's stock performance include:- Analyzing SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's stock. These opinions can provide insight into SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for SOUTHWEST Stock Analysis
When running SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's price analysis, check to measure SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SOUTHWEST AIRLINES is operating at the current time. Most of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SOUTHWEST AIRLINES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SOUTHWEST AIRLINES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.