Transalta Corp Stock Performance
| TA Stock | CAD 17.41 0.20 1.16% |
The entity has a beta of 0.14, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, TransAlta Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TransAlta Corp is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, TransAlta Corp has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to validate TransAlta Corp's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if TransAlta Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days TransAlta Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 417 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -519 M |
TransAlta |
TransAlta Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,372 in TransAlta Corp on October 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (631.00) from holding TransAlta Corp or give up 26.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. TransAlta Corp is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.5014% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 22% of traded stocks are less volatile than TransAlta, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
TransAlta Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of TransAlta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 17.41 | 90 days | 17.41 | about 81.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TransAlta Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.24 (This TransAlta Corp probability density function shows the probability of TransAlta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TransAlta Corp has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TransAlta Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TransAlta Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TransAlta Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TransAlta Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TransAlta Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TransAlta Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TransAlta Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TransAlta Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TransAlta Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TransAlta Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TransAlta Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TransAlta Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
TransAlta Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TransAlta Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TransAlta Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TransAlta Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TransAlta Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| TransAlta Corp has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
TransAlta Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TransAlta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TransAlta Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TransAlta Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 302 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 337 M |
TransAlta Corp Fundamentals Growth
TransAlta Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TransAlta Corp, and TransAlta Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TransAlta Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0911 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0113 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 10.31 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 296.7 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 114.11 X | |||
| Price To Book | 8.73 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 2.08 X | |||
| Revenue | 2.85 B | |||
| EBITDA | 1.16 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 337 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.74 X | |||
| Total Debt | 4.56 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 85.20 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.00 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 796 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.64) X | |||
| Total Asset | 9.5 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | (2.46 B) | |||
About TransAlta Corp Performance
By examining TransAlta Corp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into TransAlta Corp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that TransAlta Corp is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
TransAlta Corporation operates as non-regulated electricity generation and energy marketing company in Canada, the United States, and Western Australia. TransAlta Corporation was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. TRANSALTA CORPORATION operates under Utilities - Independent Power Producers classification in Canada and is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange. It employs 1883 people.Things to note about TransAlta Corp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about TransAlta Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TransAlta Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TransAlta Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TransAlta Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| TransAlta Corp has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing TransAlta Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TransAlta Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining TransAlta Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating TransAlta Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TransAlta Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TransAlta Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TransAlta Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TransAlta Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. To learn how to invest in TransAlta Stock, please use our How to Invest in TransAlta Corp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.