Transalta Corp Stock Performance

TAC Stock  USD 13.55  0.77  6.03%   
The entity has a beta of 0.16, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, TransAlta Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TransAlta Corp is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, TransAlta Corp has a negative expected return of -0.38%. Please make sure to validate TransAlta Corp's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if TransAlta Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days TransAlta Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(5.68)
Five Day Return
(0.08)
Year To Date Return
(1.84)
Ten Year Return
263.07
All Time Return
(20.47)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0139
Payout Ratio
12
Forward Dividend Rate
0.19
Dividend Date
2026-04-01
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-27
1
TransAlta price target lowered by C1 at CIBC TAC
11/07/2025
2
Hut 8 sells 310-megawatt power portfolio to TransAlta HUTTAC
11/17/2025
3
Is American Bitcoins Share Unlock Volatility Altering The Investment Case For Hut 8
12/05/2025
4
U.S. Orders TransAlta to Keep Washington Coal Plant Running Past Retirement
12/17/2025
5
Trump admin has prevented shutdown of enough energy for 11M homes
12/18/2025
6
TransAlta Ordered To Extend Coal Use While Funding Gas Shift
12/19/2025
7
Public notice - Flipi Gas-Fired Generation Project - Comments invited on the summary of the Initial Project Description and funding available
01/07/2026
8
Dividend 15 Split Corp. Announces Successful Overnight Offering of Preferred Shares
01/16/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow348 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-520 M

TransAlta Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,756  in TransAlta Corp on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (401.00) from holding TransAlta Corp or give up 22.84% of portfolio value over 90 days. TransAlta Corp is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.8157% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than TransAlta, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon TransAlta Corp is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

TransAlta Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TransAlta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.55 90 days 13.55 
about 61.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TransAlta Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.69 (This TransAlta Corp probability density function shows the probability of TransAlta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon TransAlta Corp has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TransAlta Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TransAlta Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TransAlta Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TransAlta Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TransAlta Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TransAlta Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6513.5516.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5813.4816.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0613.9516.85
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.3713.6015.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TransAlta Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TransAlta Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TransAlta Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TransAlta Corp.

TransAlta Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TransAlta Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TransAlta Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TransAlta Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TransAlta Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

TransAlta Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TransAlta Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TransAlta Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TransAlta Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should Duke Energys Storm Response and Grid Upgrades Require Action From Duke Energy Investors

TransAlta Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TransAlta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TransAlta Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TransAlta Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding296 M
Cash And Short Term Investments337 M

TransAlta Corp Fundamentals Growth

TransAlta Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TransAlta Corp, and TransAlta Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TransAlta Stock performance.

About TransAlta Corp Performance

By analyzing TransAlta Corp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into TransAlta Corp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if TransAlta Corp has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if TransAlta Corp has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 25.80  27.70 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.16 

Things to note about TransAlta Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about TransAlta Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TransAlta Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TransAlta Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should Duke Energys Storm Response and Grid Upgrades Require Action From Duke Energy Investors
Evaluating TransAlta Corp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate TransAlta Corp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing TransAlta Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TransAlta Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining TransAlta Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating TransAlta Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TransAlta Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TransAlta Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TransAlta Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating TransAlta Corp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact TransAlta Corp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running TransAlta Corp's price analysis, check to measure TransAlta Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TransAlta Corp is operating at the current time. Most of TransAlta Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TransAlta Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TransAlta Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TransAlta Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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