Timothy Servative Growth Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TCGAX Fund  USD 10.36  0.07  0.68%   
The entity has a beta of 0.26, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Timothy Conservative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timothy Conservative is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
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Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Servative Growth are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Timothy Conservative is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date22nd of February 2023
Expense Ratio1.8600
  

Timothy Conservative Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,027  in Timothy Servative Growth on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding Timothy Servative Growth or generate 0.88% return on investment over 90 days. Timothy Servative Growth is currently producing 0.0155% returns and takes up 0.4408% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 3% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Timothy, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Conservative is expected to generate 7.77 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.92 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Timothy Conservative Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
10.36
Please note that Timothy Conservative's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Timothy Servative Growth has a current Real Value of $10.34 per share. The regular price of the fund is $10.36. We determine the value of Timothy Servative Growth from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Timothy Conservative is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Timothy Mutual Fund. However, Timothy Conservative's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.36 Real  10.34 Hype  10.36 Naive  10.3
The intrinsic value of Timothy Conservative's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Timothy Conservative's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.34
Real Value
10.78
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Timothy Servative Growth helps investors to forecast how Timothy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Timothy Conservative more accurately as focusing exclusively on Timothy Conservative's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9810.2010.42
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9210.3610.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.8610.3010.74
Details

Timothy Conservative Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timothy Conservative's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Timothy Servative Growth, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Timothy Conservative's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0352

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.44
  actual daily
3
97% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.04
  actual daily
2
98% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Timothy Conservative is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Timothy Conservative by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Timothy Conservative Fundamentals Growth

Timothy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timothy Conservative, and Timothy Conservative fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Timothy Mutual Fund performance.

About Timothy Conservative Performance

Evaluating Timothy Conservative's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Timothy Conservative has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Timothy Conservative has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally will invest at least 75 percent of its total assets in the traditional funds. Timothy Plan is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Timothy Servative Growth performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Conservative for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Servative Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.05% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Timothy Conservative's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Timothy Conservative's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Timothy Conservative's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timothy Conservative's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Timothy Conservative's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Timothy Conservative's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timothy Conservative's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timothy Conservative's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Timothy Conservative's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Timothy Conservative's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Timothy Conservative's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Conservative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Conservative security.
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