Toronto Dominion Bank Stock Performance

TD Stock  USD 95.92  0.01  0.01%   
Toronto Dominion has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.75, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Toronto Dominion's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Toronto Dominion is expected to be smaller as well. Toronto Dominion Bank right now owns a risk of 1.03%. Please confirm Toronto Dominion Bank the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price .
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Toronto Dominion Bank rank lower than 6% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Toronto Dominion is not utilizing all of its potential. The newest price tumult may contribute to shorter-term losses for shareholders. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
0.62
 Five Day Return
-0.08
 Year To Date Return
1.45
 Ten Year Return
130.28
 All Time Return
1.9 K
 Forward Dividend Yield
0.0331
 Payout Ratio
0.3511
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Forward Dividend Rate
3.15
 Dividend Date
2026-04-30
1
Toronto Dominion Bank TD Shares Sold by Stablepoint Partners LLC
01/27/2026
2
Grand Canyon Education Releases Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By 0.02 EPS
02/18/2026
3
Toronto Dominion Bank Q1 earnings driven by Canadian PC, Wholesale Banking fee growth
02/26/2026
4
The Toronto-Dominion Bank Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
02/27/2026
5
BMOs Wine Partnership Adds New Dimension To U.S. Earnings Story
03/04/2026
6
The Toronto-Dominion Bank Reports Record Q1 Earnings Fueled by Strong Revenue and Volume Growth
03/05/2026
7
CIBC and BMO Capital Raises PT on The Toronto-Dominion
03/06/2026
8
Scotiabank Lifts PT on The Toronto-Dominion Bank to C142 From C132
03/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities86.2 B

Toronto Dominion Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 9,108 in Toronto Dominion Bank on December 11, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 484.00 from holding Toronto Dominion Bank or generated 5.31% return on investment over 90 days. Toronto Dominion Bank is generating a 0.0901% daily return and assumes 1.03% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Put differently, 9% of stocks are less risky than Toronto on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toronto Dominion is expected to generate 1.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

A fundamental principle of stock forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. For Toronto Stock, this mean-reverting tendency has been a useful tool for valuation. Still, some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings that are only corrected when buying and selling pressure realign.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
95.92 90 days 95.92
about 27.05
According to our probability model, the chance of Toronto Dominion moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.05 (This probability chart for Toronto Dominion Bank depicts the range of likely prices for Toronto Stock over a 90-day horizon).
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toronto Dominion has a beta of 0.75. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Toronto Dominion's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Toronto Dominion Bank is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Toronto Dominion Bank has an alpha of 0.2125, implying that it can generate a 0.2125 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Toronto Dominion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Toronto Dominion

Predicting the direction of Toronto Dominion Bank and the broader stock market involves a range of quantitative and qualitative techniques. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling future scenarios is a valuable part of investment decision-making. Comparing results from different methods helps investors gauge the confidence level of their predictions.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Toronto Dominion's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.8895.9196.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.32110.49111.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.0995.1296.16
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
90.6299.58110.54
Details
Competitive analysis for Toronto Dominion compares its financial performance, valuation multiples, and growth trajectory against sector peers. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Toronto Dominion Risk Indicators

Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity for stock investors. Toronto Dominion has seen its share of dramatic price swings during this period. Implementing a hedging strategy and tracking Toronto Dominion's volatility and elasticity can help investors in Toronto Dominion Bank limit the impact of adverse market moves.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
3.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Toronto Dominion Alerts and Suggestions

Real-time alerts for Toronto Dominion allow investors to track important stock developments as they happen. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Toronto Dominion Bank helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced into the market.
Toronto Dominion Bank reports about 517.19 B in cash with -69.65 B of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 285.25.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Scotiabank Lifts PT on The Toronto-Dominion Bank to C142 From C132

Toronto Dominion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when uncertainty rises among traders holding long positions. The future price of Toronto Stock depends not only on investor outlook but also on the dynamics between participants with different trading approaches. Because risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Toronto Dominion's short-sentiment indicators are summarized below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments156.1 B

Toronto Dominion Fundamentals Growth

Toronto Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Toronto Dominion, and Toronto Dominion fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Toronto Stock performance.

About Toronto Dominion Performance Analysis

Toronto Dominion performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Relative performance helps interpret behavior versus benchmarks or category peers. Toronto Dominion shows ROE of 17.82%, ROA of 1.04%.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Toronto Dominion Bank is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Toronto Dominion Bank may have analyst coverage included in Macroaxis-derived consensus inputs when available. Updates may occur throughout the day.