Transdigm Group Incorporated Stock Performance

TDG Stock  USD 1,300  14.57  1.13%   
The entity has a beta of 0.35, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Transdigm Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Transdigm Group is expected to be smaller as well. Transdigm Group right now has a risk of 1.66%. Please validate Transdigm Group downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Transdigm Group will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Transdigm Group Incorporated has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable fundamental indicators, Transdigm Group is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.13
Five Day Return
1.39
Year To Date Return
(4.30)
Ten Year Return
594.16
All Time Return
5.3 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0028
Payout Ratio
0.0238
Dividend Date
2025-09-12
Ex Dividend Date
2025-09-02
1
Insider Trading
11/21/2025
2
Disposition of 290 shares by Patrick Murphy of Transdigm Group at 1351.06 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
3
Disposition of tradable shares by Kevin Stein of Transdigm Group at 1367.2233 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
4
Disposition of 300 shares by Kevin Stein of Transdigm Group at 1387.035 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
5
Disposition of 481 shares by Kevin Stein of Transdigm Group at 1373.0119 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
6
Transdigm Group Price Target Raised to 1,804.00
01/15/2026
7
Analysts Set Transdigm Group Incorporated Price Target at 1,597.00
01/26/2026
8
Woodward Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
02/02/2026
9
TransDigm Group Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
02/03/2026
10
Disposition of 403 shares by Kevin Stein of Transdigm Group at 1377.2956 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
11
Down 8.7 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why TransDigm Looks Ripe for a Turnaround
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-595 M

Transdigm Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  130,797  in Transdigm Group Incorporated on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (787.00) from holding Transdigm Group Incorporated or give up 0.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. Transdigm Group Incorporated is generating 0.004% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.662% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Transdigm, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Transdigm Group is expected to generate 16.75 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.05 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Transdigm Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Transdigm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,300 90 days 1,300 
about 78.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transdigm Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.97 (This Transdigm Group Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Transdigm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Transdigm Group has a beta of 0.35. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Transdigm Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Transdigm Group Incorporated will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Transdigm Group Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Transdigm Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Transdigm Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transdigm Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Transdigm Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2991,3001,302
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1701,4281,429
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1,4511,5941,769
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
8.729.259.68
Details

Transdigm Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transdigm Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transdigm Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transdigm Group Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transdigm Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
54.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Transdigm Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transdigm Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transdigm Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Transdigm Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Down 8.7 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why TransDigm Looks Ripe for a Turnaround

Transdigm Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transdigm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transdigm Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transdigm Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.8 B

Transdigm Group Fundamentals Growth

Transdigm Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Transdigm Group, and Transdigm Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Transdigm Stock performance.

About Transdigm Group Performance

By analyzing Transdigm Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Transdigm Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Transdigm Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Transdigm Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 195.51  139.10 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.21  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.18  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.09 
Return On Equity(0.25)(0.26)

Things to note about Transdigm Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Transdigm Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Transdigm Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Transdigm Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Down 8.7 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why TransDigm Looks Ripe for a Turnaround
Evaluating Transdigm Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Transdigm Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Transdigm Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Transdigm Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Transdigm Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Transdigm Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Transdigm Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Transdigm Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Transdigm Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Transdigm Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Transdigm Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Transdigm Stock analysis

When running Transdigm Group's price analysis, check to measure Transdigm Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Transdigm Group is operating at the current time. Most of Transdigm Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Transdigm Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Transdigm Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Transdigm Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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