Talgo SA (Spain) Performance

TLGO Stock  EUR 2.90  0.02  0.69%   
Talgo SA has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.32, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Talgo SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Talgo SA is expected to be smaller as well. Talgo SA right now has a risk of 1.72%. Please validate Talgo SA value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Talgo SA will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Talgo SA are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Talgo SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow228.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-11.2 M
  

Talgo SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  283.00  in Talgo SA on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding Talgo SA or generate 2.47% return on investment over 90 days. Talgo SA is generating 0.0532% of daily returns and assumes 1.724% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Talgo, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Talgo SA is expected to generate 1.92 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Talgo SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Talgo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.90 90 days 2.90 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Talgo SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Talgo SA probability density function shows the probability of Talgo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Talgo SA has a beta of 0.32. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Talgo SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Talgo SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Talgo SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Talgo SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Talgo SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talgo SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.182.904.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.202.924.64
Details

Talgo SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Talgo SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Talgo SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Talgo SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Talgo SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Talgo SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Talgo SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Talgo SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Talgo SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Talgo SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Talgo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Talgo SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talgo SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments253 M

Talgo SA Fundamentals Growth

Talgo Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Talgo SA, and Talgo SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Talgo Stock performance.

About Talgo SA Performance

By analyzing Talgo SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Talgo SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Talgo SA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Talgo SA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Talgo, S.A. designs, manufactures, and sells rolling stock and maintenance equipment worldwide. Talgo, S.A. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. TALGO S operates under Railroads classification in Spain and is traded on Madrid SE C.A.T.S.. It employs 2322 people.

Things to note about Talgo SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Talgo SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Talgo SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Talgo SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Talgo SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Talgo SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Talgo SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Talgo SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Talgo SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Talgo SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Talgo SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Talgo SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Talgo SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Talgo SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Talgo SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Talgo Stock analysis

When running Talgo SA's price analysis, check to measure Talgo SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Talgo SA is operating at the current time. Most of Talgo SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Talgo SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Talgo SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Talgo SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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