Telstra (Australia) Performance

TLS Stock   5.21  0.02  0.38%   
Telstra has a performance score of 13 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.0814, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Telstra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Telstra is likely to outperform the market. Telstra Group right now has a risk of 0.83%. Please validate Telstra sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Telstra will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Telstra Group are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Telstra may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0403
Payout Ratio
1
Last Split Factor
1:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.21
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-25
1
Telecommunications Update Featuring ASX 100 Index and Telstra Operations - Kalkine Media
12/22/2025
2
Forecast Heres what 10,000 invested in Telstra shares could be worth next year - MSN
01/05/2026
3
Would Warren Buffett buy Telstra shares - The Motley Fool Australia
01/19/2026
4
How Investors May Respond To Telstra Group Addressing iOS Triple Zero Calling Glitch - simplywall.st
01/30/2026
5
A4.94 TLS.AX Telstra Group ASX after hours 13 Feb 2026 earnings outlook - Meyka
02/12/2026
6
Telstra share price ticks up as investors brace for Thursday results and dividend timeline - TechStock
02/17/2026
Begin Period Cash FlowB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.4 B
  

Telstra Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  479.00  in Telstra Group on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  42.00  from holding Telstra Group or generate 8.77% return on investment over 90 days. Telstra Group is generating 0.1435% of daily returns assuming 0.8262% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 7% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Telstra, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Telstra is expected to generate 1.09 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of risk.

Telstra Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Telstra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.21 90 days 5.21 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telstra to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Telstra Group probability density function shows the probability of Telstra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Telstra Group has a beta of -0.0814. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Telstra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Telstra Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Telstra Group has an alpha of 0.1142, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Telstra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Telstra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telstra Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.385.216.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.245.075.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.465.296.12
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.050.06
Details

Telstra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telstra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telstra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telstra Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telstra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Telstra Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telstra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telstra Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Telstra Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telstra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telstra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telstra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.6 B
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Telstra Fundamentals Growth

Telstra Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Telstra, and Telstra fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Telstra Stock performance.

About Telstra Performance

Assessing Telstra's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Telstra's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Telstra is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Telstra is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange.

Things to note about Telstra Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Telstra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Telstra Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Telstra's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Telstra's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Telstra's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Telstra's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Telstra's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Telstra's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Telstra's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Telstra's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Telstra's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Telstra's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Telstra's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Telstra Stock Analysis

When running Telstra's price analysis, check to measure Telstra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telstra is operating at the current time. Most of Telstra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telstra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telstra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telstra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.