Telstra (Australia) Technical Analysis

TLS Stock   4.94  0.06  1.23%   
As of the 15th of February 2026, Telstra has the Coefficient Of Variation of (2,911), variance of 0.5209, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Telstra Group, as well as the relationship between them.

Telstra Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Telstra, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Telstra
  
Telstra's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telstra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telstra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Telstra's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Telstra 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Telstra's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Telstra.
0.00
11/17/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/15/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Telstra on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Telstra Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Telstra over 90 days. Telstra is related to or competes with Revolution Private, Finexia Financial, Australian Unity, Aussie Broadband, Metalstech, and Ai Media. Telstra is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange. More

Telstra Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Telstra's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Telstra Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Telstra Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Telstra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Telstra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Telstra historical prices to predict the future Telstra's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.294.945.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.244.895.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.050.05
Details

Telstra February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators

Telstra Group Backtested Returns

Currently, Telstra Group is not too volatile. Telstra Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Telstra Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Telstra's Variance of 0.5209, coefficient of variation of (2,911), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0053%. The entity has a beta of 0.0559, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Telstra's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Telstra is expected to be smaller as well. Telstra Group right now has a risk of 0.65%. Please validate Telstra value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Telstra will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

Telstra Group has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Telstra time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Telstra Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Telstra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
Telstra technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Telstra technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Telstra trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Telstra Group Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Telstra Group across different markets.

About Telstra Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Telstra Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telstra Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Telstra Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Telstra Group. By analyzing Telstra's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Telstra's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Telstra specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Telstra February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Telstra help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telstra from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Telstra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Telstra February 15, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Telstra stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Telstra Stock Analysis

When running Telstra's price analysis, check to measure Telstra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telstra is operating at the current time. Most of Telstra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telstra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telstra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telstra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.