Trend Micro Stock Performance

TMICF Stock  USD 39.93  2.89  6.75%   
The entity has a beta of -0.28, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Trend Micro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Trend Micro is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Trend Micro has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to validate Trend Micro's skewness, and the relationship between the information ratio and day median price , to decide if Trend Micro performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Trend Micro has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow174.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities2.6 B
  

Trend Micro Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,779  in Trend Micro on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (786.00) from holding Trend Micro or give up 16.45% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trend Micro is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.9745% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 17% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Trend, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trend Micro is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Trend Micro Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trend Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.93 90 days 39.93 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trend Micro to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Trend Micro probability density function shows the probability of Trend Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trend Micro has a beta of -0.28. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Trend Micro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Trend Micro is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Trend Micro has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trend Micro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trend Micro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trend Micro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trend Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.9639.9341.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.2235.1943.92
Details

Trend Micro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trend Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trend Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trend Micro, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trend Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
2.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Trend Micro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trend Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trend Micro can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trend Micro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Trend Micro Fundamentals Growth

Trend Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trend Micro, and Trend Micro fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trend Pink Sheet performance.

About Trend Micro Performance

By analyzing Trend Micro's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Trend Micro's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Trend Micro has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Trend Micro has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Trend Micro Incorporated develops and sells security-related software for computers and the Internet primarily in Japan. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Trend Micro operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 7024 people.

Things to note about Trend Micro performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trend Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Trend Micro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trend Micro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Trend Micro's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trend Micro's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Trend Micro's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trend Micro's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trend Micro's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trend Micro's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trend Micro's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trend Micro's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Trend Micro's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trend Micro's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trend Micro's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Trend Micro's price analysis, check to measure Trend Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trend Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Trend Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trend Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trend Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trend Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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