Trilogy Metals Stock Performance
| TMQ Stock | CAD 5.31 0.32 6.41% |
The entity has a beta of 0.33, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Trilogy Metals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Trilogy Metals is expected to be smaller as well. Trilogy Metals right now has a risk of 5.5%. Please validate Trilogy Metals sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Trilogy Metals will be following its existing price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Trilogy Metals has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Trilogy Metals is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
1 | The last holdout on MP Materials stock has turned bullish - MarketWatch | 12/05/2025 |
2 | Trilogy Metals Shares Down 5.1 percent - Time to Sell - MarketBeat | 12/15/2025 |
3 | Did US35.6 Million in Federal Support Just Shift Trilogy Metals Investment Narrative - Yahoo Finance | 12/19/2025 |
4 | ELECTRUM STRATEGIC OPPORTUNITIES FUND L.P. DISCLOSES CHARITABLE DONATION OF COMMON SHARES OF TRILOGY METALS INC. BY ITS JOINT ACTORS - | 12/29/2025 |
5 | A Look At Trilogy Metals Valuation After US Backing For Ambler Road And 10 percent Stake - simplywall.st | 01/08/2026 |
6 | Trilogy Metals Valuation After US Government Stake And Ambler Access Road Approval - Yahoo Finance | 01/13/2026 |
7 | Assessing Trilogy Metals Valuation After Leadership Changes And US Backing For Alaska Projects - simplywall.st | 01/23/2026 |
8 | Assessing Trilogy Metals Valuation After Leadership Changes And US Federal Project Support - Yahoo Finance | 01/28/2026 |
9 | Trilogy Metals Sees Financial Setbacks Yet Maintains Strong Cash Reserves - timothysykes.com | 02/20/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 25.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -3.3 M |
Trilogy |
Trilogy Metals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 564.00 in Trilogy Metals on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (33.00) from holding Trilogy Metals or give up 5.85% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trilogy Metals is generating 0.054% of daily returns assuming 5.5007% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 49% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Trilogy Metals, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Trilogy Metals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Trilogy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.31 | 90 days | 5.31 | about 90.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trilogy Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.99 (This Trilogy Metals probability density function shows the probability of Trilogy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Trilogy Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trilogy Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trilogy Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trilogy Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trilogy Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trilogy Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trilogy Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trilogy Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0007 |
Trilogy Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trilogy Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trilogy Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trilogy Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Trilogy Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Trilogy Metals has accumulated 180.6 K in total debt. Trilogy Metals has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Trilogy Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Trilogy Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Trilogy Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Trilogy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Trilogy Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (42.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.61 M). | |
| Trilogy Metals has accumulated about 2.57 M in cash with (3.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trilogy Metals Sees Financial Setbacks Yet Maintains Strong Cash Reserves - timothysykes.com |
Trilogy Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trilogy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trilogy Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trilogy Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 164.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.5 M | |
| Shares Float | 106.7 M |
Trilogy Metals Fundamentals Growth
Trilogy Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trilogy Metals, and Trilogy Metals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trilogy Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0399 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 943.39 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 171.06 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.58 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | (2.61 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (9.47 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (42.36 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.57 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.20 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 180.6 K | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.85 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.99 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.26 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.08) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 908.33 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 156.96 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (132.35 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 25.25 M | ||||
About Trilogy Metals Performance
By examining Trilogy Metals' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Trilogy Metals' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Trilogy Metals is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (14.90) | (15.64) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.24) | (0.25) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.24) | (0.25) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.31) | (0.32) |
Things to note about Trilogy Metals performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trilogy Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trilogy Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trilogy Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Trilogy Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Trilogy Metals has accumulated 180.6 K in total debt. Trilogy Metals has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Trilogy Metals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Trilogy Metals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Trilogy Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Trilogy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Trilogy Metals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (42.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.61 M). | |
| Trilogy Metals has accumulated about 2.57 M in cash with (3.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trilogy Metals Sees Financial Setbacks Yet Maintains Strong Cash Reserves - timothysykes.com |
- Analyzing Trilogy Metals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trilogy Metals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Trilogy Metals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Trilogy Metals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trilogy Metals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trilogy Metals' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trilogy Metals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Trilogy Metals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. To learn how to invest in Trilogy Stock, please use our How to Invest in Trilogy Metals guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.