Topicus Stock Performance

TOITF Stock  USD 68.97  1.74  2.46%   
The entity has a beta of 0.57, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Topicus' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Topicus is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Topicus has a negative expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to validate Topicus' maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Topicus performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Topicus has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
  

Topicus Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,040  in Topicus on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,143) from holding Topicus or give up 23.71% of portfolio value over 90 days. Topicus is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.6287% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 23% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Topicus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Topicus is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Topicus Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Topicus Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 68.97 90 days 68.97 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Topicus to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Topicus probability density function shows the probability of Topicus Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Topicus has a beta of 0.57. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Topicus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Topicus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Topicus has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Topicus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Topicus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Topicus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Topicus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.3268.9771.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.6563.3075.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.4369.0871.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.9186.29100.67
Details

Topicus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Topicus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Topicus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Topicus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Topicus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
7.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Topicus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Topicus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Topicus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Topicus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Topicus has accumulated 41.28 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Topicus has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Topicus until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Topicus' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Topicus sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Topicus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Topicus' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 49.0% of Topicus outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Topicus Fundamentals Growth

Topicus Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Topicus, and Topicus fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Topicus Pink Sheet performance.

About Topicus Performance

By analyzing Topicus' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Topicus' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Topicus has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Topicus has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Topicus.com Inc. provides vertical market software and vertical market platforms in Europe. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Topicus is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Topicus performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Topicus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Topicus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Topicus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Topicus has accumulated 41.28 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Topicus has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Topicus until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Topicus' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Topicus sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Topicus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Topicus' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 49.0% of Topicus outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Topicus' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Topicus' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Topicus' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Topicus' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Topicus' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Topicus' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Topicus' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Topicus' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Topicus' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Topicus' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Topicus' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Topicus Pink Sheet analysis

When running Topicus' price analysis, check to measure Topicus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topicus is operating at the current time. Most of Topicus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topicus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topicus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topicus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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