Top Group (Israel) Performance

TOPG Stock   1,302  1.00  0.08%   
The entity has a beta of 0.22, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Top Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Top Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Top Group Software has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to validate Top Group's value at risk, skewness, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if Top Group Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Top Group Software has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
  

Top Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  148,800  in Top Group Software on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (18,600) from holding Top Group Software or give up 12.5% of portfolio value over 90 days. Top Group Software is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.698% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Top, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Top Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Top Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Top Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,302 90 days 1,302 
about 75.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Top Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.9 (This Top Group Software probability density function shows the probability of Top Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Top Group has a beta of 0.22. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Top Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Top Group Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Top Group Software has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Top Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Top Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Group Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Top Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Top Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Top Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Top Group Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Top Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
81.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Top Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Top Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Top Group Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Top Group Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Things to note about Top Group Software performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Top Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Top Group Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Top Group Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating Top Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Top Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Top Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Top Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Top Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Top Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Top Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Top Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Top Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Top Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Top Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Top Stock analysis

When running Top Group's price analysis, check to measure Top Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Top Group is operating at the current time. Most of Top Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Top Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Top Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Top Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon