Timothy Plan Defensive Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| TPDAX Fund | USD 18.23 0.70 3.70% |
The entity has a beta of 0.41, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Timothy Plan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Timothy Plan is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Plan Defensive are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Timothy Plan may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
...more| Expense Ratio Date | 30th of April 2025 | |
| Expense Ratio | 1.3200 |
TIMOTHY |
Timothy Plan Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,630 in Timothy Plan Defensive on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 193.00 from holding Timothy Plan Defensive or generate 11.84% return on investment over 90 days. Timothy Plan Defensive is currently producing 0.1836% returns and takes up 0.7732% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 6% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than TIMOTHY, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Timothy Plan Current Valuation
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Timothy Plan's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Timothy Plan Defensive has a current Real Value of $19.67 per share. The regular price of the fund is $18.23. We determine the value of Timothy Plan Defensive from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Timothy Plan is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of TIMOTHY Mutual Fund. However, Timothy Plan's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 18.23 | Real 19.67 | Hype 18.23 | Naive 18.6 |
The intrinsic value of Timothy Plan's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Timothy Plan's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Timothy Plan Defensive helps investors to forecast how TIMOTHY mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Timothy Plan more accurately as focusing exclusively on Timothy Plan's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Timothy Plan Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of TIMOTHY Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.23 | 90 days | 18.23 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Plan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Timothy Plan Defensive probability density function shows the probability of TIMOTHY Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Plan has a beta of 0.41. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Timothy Plan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Timothy Plan Defensive will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Timothy Plan Defensive has an alpha of 0.1296, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Timothy Plan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Timothy Plan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Plan Defensive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Timothy Plan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Plan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Plan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Plan Defensive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Plan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Timothy Plan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Plan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Plan Defensive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bristol arts funding protected for three more years in council U-turn - The Stage | |
| The fund maintains about 10.71% of its assets in cash |
Timothy Plan Fundamentals Growth
TIMOTHY Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Timothy Plan, and Timothy Plan fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TIMOTHY Mutual Fund performance.
| Price To Earning | 22.63 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.53 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.49 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 49.48 M | ||||
About Timothy Plan Performance
Evaluating Timothy Plan's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Timothy Plan has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Timothy Plan has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund will invest varying percentages of its total assets in Real Estate Investment Trusts, Commodities-based securities, Various Fixed Income securities, TIPS and cash and cash equivalents. During times of significant market upheaval, it may take large, small, or even no position in any one or more of the Asset Classes, may invest in gold and other eligible precious metals to the maximum extent allowed, andor may hold some or all of the funds assets in cash andor cash equivalents. The fund is non-diversified.Things to note about Timothy Plan Defensive performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Plan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Plan Defensive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bristol arts funding protected for three more years in council U-turn - The Stage | |
| The fund maintains about 10.71% of its assets in cash |
- Analyzing Timothy Plan's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Timothy Plan's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Timothy Plan's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Timothy Plan's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Timothy Plan's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Timothy Plan's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Timothy Plan's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in TIMOTHY Mutual Fund
Timothy Plan financial ratios help investors to determine whether TIMOTHY Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TIMOTHY with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Plan security.
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