Triunfo Participaes (Brazil) Performance

TPIS3 Stock  BRL 5.30  0.03  0.57%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Triunfo Participaes holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 0.21, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Triunfo Participaes' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Triunfo Participaes is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Triunfo Participaes' maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Triunfo Participaes' existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Triunfo Participaes e are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Triunfo Participaes unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow54.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-130.3 M
  

Triunfo Participaes Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  414.00  in Triunfo Participaes e on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  116.00  from holding Triunfo Participaes e or generate 28.02% return on investment over 90 days. Triunfo Participaes e is generating 0.4894% of daily returns and assumes 3.8057% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Triunfo, and 91% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Triunfo Participaes is expected to generate 5.04 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Triunfo Participaes Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Triunfo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.30 90 days 5.30 
about 6.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Triunfo Participaes to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.11 (This Triunfo Participaes e probability density function shows the probability of Triunfo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Triunfo Participaes has a beta of 0.21. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Triunfo Participaes average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Triunfo Participaes e will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Triunfo Participaes e has an alpha of 0.6009, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Triunfo Participaes Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Triunfo Participaes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triunfo Participaes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.405.309.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.014.918.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.285.179.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.535.055.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Triunfo Participaes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Triunfo Participaes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Triunfo Participaes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Triunfo Participaes.

Triunfo Participaes Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Triunfo Participaes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Triunfo Participaes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Triunfo Participaes e, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Triunfo Participaes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Triunfo Participaes Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Triunfo Participaes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Triunfo Participaes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Triunfo Participaes had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Triunfo Participaes has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Triunfo Participaes has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Triunfo Participaes e has accumulated 1.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 255.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Triunfo Participaes has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Triunfo Participaes until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Triunfo Participaes' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Triunfo Participaes sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Triunfo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Triunfo Participaes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 62.0% of Triunfo Participaes outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Triunfo Participaes Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Triunfo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Triunfo Participaes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triunfo Participaes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding173.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments81.6 M

Triunfo Participaes Fundamentals Growth

Triunfo Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Triunfo Participaes, and Triunfo Participaes fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Triunfo Stock performance.

About Triunfo Participaes Performance

Assessing Triunfo Participaes' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Triunfo Participaes' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Triunfo Participaes is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Triunfo Participaes e Investimentos S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the infrastructure business in Brazil. Triunfo Participaes e Investimentos S.A. is a subsidiary of THP - Triunfo Holding de Participaes Ltda. TRIUNFO PARTON operates under Infrastructure Operations classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 60 people.

Things to note about Triunfo Participaes performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Triunfo Participaes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Triunfo Participaes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Triunfo Participaes had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Triunfo Participaes has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Triunfo Participaes has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Triunfo Participaes e has accumulated 1.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 255.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Triunfo Participaes has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Triunfo Participaes until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Triunfo Participaes' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Triunfo Participaes sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Triunfo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Triunfo Participaes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 62.0% of Triunfo Participaes outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Triunfo Participaes' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Triunfo Participaes' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Triunfo Participaes' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Triunfo Participaes' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Triunfo Participaes' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Triunfo Participaes' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Triunfo Participaes' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Triunfo Participaes' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Triunfo Participaes' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Triunfo Participaes' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Triunfo Participaes' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Triunfo Stock Analysis

When running Triunfo Participaes' price analysis, check to measure Triunfo Participaes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triunfo Participaes is operating at the current time. Most of Triunfo Participaes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triunfo Participaes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triunfo Participaes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triunfo Participaes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.