TPL Insurance (Pakistan) Performance

TPLI Stock   19.74  1.36  6.45%   
The entity has a beta of -0.65, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TPL Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TPL Insurance is likely to outperform the market. TPL Insurance presently has a risk of 3.12%. Please validate TPL Insurance treynor ratio, value at risk, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if TPL Insurance will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days TPL Insurance has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, TPL Insurance is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

TPL Insurance Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,010  in TPL Insurance on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (36.00) from holding TPL Insurance or give up 1.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. TPL Insurance is generating 0.0182% of daily returns and assumes 3.1173% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 28% of stocks are less volatile than TPL, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TPL Insurance is expected to generate 3.32 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

TPL Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TPL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.74 90 days 19.74 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TPL Insurance to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This TPL Insurance probability density function shows the probability of TPL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TPL Insurance has a beta of -0.65. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TPL Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TPL Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TPL Insurance has an alpha of 0.0116, implying that it can generate a 0.0116 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TPL Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TPL Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TPL Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.6219.7422.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.3417.4620.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.4419.5622.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-7.0120.1921.55
Details

TPL Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TPL Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TPL Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TPL Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TPL Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

TPL Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TPL Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TPL Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TPL Insurance had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

About TPL Insurance Performance

By analyzing TPL Insurance's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into TPL Insurance's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if TPL Insurance has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if TPL Insurance has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about TPL Insurance performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about TPL Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TPL Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TPL Insurance had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Evaluating TPL Insurance's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate TPL Insurance's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing TPL Insurance's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TPL Insurance's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining TPL Insurance's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating TPL Insurance's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TPL Insurance's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TPL Insurance's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TPL Insurance's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating TPL Insurance's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact TPL Insurance's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for TPL Stock analysis

When running TPL Insurance's price analysis, check to measure TPL Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TPL Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of TPL Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TPL Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TPL Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TPL Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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