Track Group Stock Performance
| TRCK Stock | USD 0.39 0.02 4.88% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Track holds a performance score of 4. The entity has a beta of -2.39, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Track are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Track is expected to outperform it. Please check Track's jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Track's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Track Group are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental indicators, Track disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Track |
Track Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 37.00 in Track Group on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 2.00 from holding Track Group or generate 5.41% return on investment over 90 days. Track Group is currently generating 0.4556% in daily expected returns and assumes 8.7576% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 78% of otc stocks are less volatile than Track, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Track Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Track OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.39 | 90 days | 0.39 | about 14.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Track to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.04 (This Track Group probability density function shows the probability of Track OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Track Group has a beta of -2.39. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Track Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Track is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Track Group has an alpha of 0.1504, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Track Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Track
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Track Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Track's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Track Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Track is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Track's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Track Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Track within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Track Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Track for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Track Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Track Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Track Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Track Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.87 M. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Track Fundamentals Growth
Track OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Track, and Track fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Track OTC Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -4.06 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.033 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.19) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 44.46 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 11.86 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 3.17 X | |||
| Price To Book | 2.12 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.09 X | |||
| Revenue | 36.97 M | |||
| EBITDA | 286.13 K | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.91 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.41 X | |||
| Total Debt | 42.98 M | |||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.41) X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 802.96 K | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.12 X | |||
| Total Asset | 44.68 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (286.68 M) | |||
| Current Asset | 10.19 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 6.57 M | |||
About Track Performance
By examining Track's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Track's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Track is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Track Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets location tracking devices. Track Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Naperville, Illinois. Track operates under Scientific Technical Instruments classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 149 people.Things to note about Track Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Track for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Track Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Track Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Track Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Track Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.87 M. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing Track's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Track's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Track's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Track's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Track's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Track's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Track's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Track OTC Stock
Track financial ratios help investors to determine whether Track OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Track with respect to the benefits of owning Track security.