Transcat Stock Performance

TRNS Stock  USD 60.31  1.81  3.09%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0039, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Transcat's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Transcat is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Transcat has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to validate Transcat's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Transcat performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Transcat has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow19.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-84 M

Transcat Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,062  in Transcat on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,031) from holding Transcat or give up 14.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. Transcat is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.2539% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Transcat, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Transcat is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Transcat Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Transcat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 60.31 90 days 60.31 
about 32.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transcat to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.52 (This Transcat probability density function shows the probability of Transcat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Transcat has a beta of 0.0039. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Transcat average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Transcat will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Transcat has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Transcat Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Transcat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transcat. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.0660.3163.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.0648.3166.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.9056.1659.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.2061.4966.79
Details

Transcat Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transcat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transcat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transcat, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transcat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
4.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Transcat Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transcat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transcat can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Transcat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Transcat has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Transcat Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transcat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transcat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transcat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 M

Transcat Fundamentals Growth

Transcat Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Transcat, and Transcat fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Transcat Stock performance.

About Transcat Performance

Assessing Transcat's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Transcat's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Transcat is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Transcat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Transcat, Inc. was incorporated in 1964 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York. Transcat operates under Industrial Distribution classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 812 people.

Things to note about Transcat performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Transcat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Transcat help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Transcat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Transcat has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Transcat's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Transcat's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Transcat's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Transcat's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Transcat's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Transcat's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Transcat's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Transcat's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Transcat's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Transcat's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Transcat's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Transcat Stock Analysis

When running Transcat's price analysis, check to measure Transcat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Transcat is operating at the current time. Most of Transcat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Transcat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Transcat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Transcat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.