Trevena Stock Performance

TRVN Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Trevena holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of -2.29, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Trevena are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Trevena is expected to outperform it. Use Trevena coefficient of variation and skewness , to analyze future returns on Trevena.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Trevena are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain basic indicators, Trevena displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:25
Last Split Date
2024-08-13
1
What hedge fund moves indicate for Trevena Inc. stock - Options Play Community Driven Trade Alerts - newser.com
11/05/2025
2
Disposition of 143 shares by Carrie Bourdow of Trevena at 1.47 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/10/2025
3
Can Trevena Inc. stock reach 200 price target - Weekly Profit Summary AI Powered Trade Plan Recommendations - newser.com
11/13/2025
4
Will Trevena Inc. stock extend growth story - Quarterly Trade Review Risk Adjusted BuySell Alerts - newser.com
11/19/2025
5
Ray Therapeutics Appoints Scott Braunstein, M.D., as Chairman of the Board of Directors
01/08/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow40.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-41 K

Trevena Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1.20  in Trevena on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (0.10) from holding Trevena or give up 8.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trevena is currently generating 14.8907% in daily expected returns and assumes 128.7683% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Trevena, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trevena is expected to generate 170.6 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 170.6 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Trevena Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trevena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 69.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trevena to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.36 (This Trevena probability density function shows the probability of Trevena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trevena has a beta of -2.29. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Trevena are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Trevena is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Trevena has an alpha of 13.9013, implying that it can generate a 13.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Trevena Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trevena

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trevena. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trevena's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.2651.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.01128.78
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details

Trevena Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trevena is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trevena's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trevena, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trevena within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
13.90
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.29
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Trevena Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trevena for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trevena can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trevena is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Trevena has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Trevena appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Trevena has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.29 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.04 M).
Trevena currently holds about 49.52 M in cash with (33.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Trevena has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ray Therapeutics Appoints Scott Braunstein, M.D., as Chairman of the Board of Directors

Trevena Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trevena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trevena's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trevena's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments33 M

Trevena Fundamentals Growth

Trevena Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trevena, and Trevena fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trevena Stock performance.

About Trevena Performance

By examining Trevena's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Trevena's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Trevena is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 98.62  93.68 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.89)(0.94)
Return On Capital Employed(0.96)(1.01)
Return On Assets(0.89)(0.94)
Return On Equity 6.05  5.75 

Things to note about Trevena performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trevena for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trevena help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trevena is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Trevena has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Trevena appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Trevena has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (40.29 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.04 M).
Trevena currently holds about 49.52 M in cash with (33.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Trevena has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ray Therapeutics Appoints Scott Braunstein, M.D., as Chairman of the Board of Directors
Evaluating Trevena's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trevena's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Trevena's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trevena's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trevena's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trevena's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trevena's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trevena's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trevena's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trevena's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trevena's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Trevena offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Trevena's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Trevena Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Trevena Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Trevena. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
To learn how to invest in Trevena Stock, please use our How to Invest in Trevena guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Trevena diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trevena. If investors know Trevena will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Trevena data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(48.89)
Revenue Per Share
0.685
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.572
Return On Assets
(0.62)
Return On Equity
(10.15)
Understanding Trevena requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Trevena's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Trevena's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Trevena's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trevena's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trevena is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Trevena's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.