Short Term Government Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TWARX Fund  USD 9.05  0.01  0.11%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0023, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Short-term Government's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Short-term Government is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Short Term Government Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Short-term Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio1.0500
  

Short-term Government Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  906.00  in Short Term Government Fund on August 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1.00) from holding Short Term Government Fund or give up 0.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Short Term Government Fund is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.1194% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Short-term, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Short-term Government is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 6.29 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Short-term Government Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.05
Please note that Short-term Government's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Short Term Government has a current Real Value of $8.88 per share. The regular price of the fund is $9.05. We determine the value of Short Term Government from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Short-term Government is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Short-term Mutual Fund. However, Short-term Government's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.05 Real  8.88 Hype  9.05 Naive  9.04
The intrinsic value of Short-term Government's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Short-term Government's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.88
Real Value
9.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Short Term Government Fund helps investors to forecast how Short-term mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Short-term Government more accurately as focusing exclusively on Short-term Government's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.049.069.08
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.939.059.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.929.049.15
Details

Short-term Government Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Short-term Government's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Short Term Government Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Short-term Government's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0141

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsTWARX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.12
  actual daily
1
99% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.0
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Short-term Government is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Short-term Government by adding Short-term Government to a well-diversified portfolio.

Short-term Government Fundamentals Growth

Short-term Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Short-term Government, and Short-term Government fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Short-term Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset241.02 M

About Short-term Government Performance

Evaluating Short-term Government's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Short-term Government has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Short-term Government has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund buys short-term debt securities and will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in U.S. government securities. In addition, the fund may invest a portion of its assets in investment-grade debt securities, including debt securities of U.S. companies, and non-U.S. government mortgage-backed, asset-backed and other fixed-income securities.

Things to note about Short Term Government performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Short-term Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Short Term Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Short-term Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
Evaluating Short-term Government's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Short-term Government's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Short-term Government's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Short-term Government's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Short-term Government's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Short-term Government's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Short-term Government's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Short-term Government's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Short-term Government's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Short-term Government's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Short-term Government's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Short-term Mutual Fund

Short-term Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Short-term Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Short-term with respect to the benefits of owning Short-term Government security.
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