Ageagle Aerial Systems Stock Performance

UAVS Stock

USD 1.17 0.05 4.46%

Ageagle Aerial's period returns and the standard risk-adjusted performance ratios are summarized. Based on the 3 months horizon, Ageagle Aerial shows an expected return of 0.21%.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0100

4 · Mild

Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Ageagle Aerial Systems rank lower than 4% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Comparing this score with sector peers and broader benchmarks adds further context to the ranking. Recent return data for Ageagle Aerial reflects positive risk-adjusted momentum, with gains outpacing the volatility required to produce them. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 108.00 in Ageagle Aerial Systems on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 9.00 , a return of 8.33% over 90 days. Ageagle Aerial Systems is currently generating a 0.211% daily expected return and carries 4.14% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Ageagle Aerial exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 63% of comparable stocks, and UAVS has trailed 96% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.

Expected Return

Risk

This relative risk-return summary evaluates how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given a 90-day horizon, UAVS generates 4.48 times more return on investment than the market. However, UAVS is 4.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.05% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like Ageagle Aerial Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds moving above the current price in 90 days
1.17	90 days	1.17	under 4%

Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Ageagle Aerial moving above the current price in 90 days from now at under 4%. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Ageagle Aerial Systems distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Ageagle Aerial Stock over a 90-day period).

Given a 90-day horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.61 . This usually implies when the benchmark rises, UAVS tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Ageagle Aerial tends to underperform. Additionally, Ageagle Aerial Systems has an alpha of 0.2941, implying that it can generate a 0.2941 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).

Ageagle Aerial Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for Ageagle Aerial

Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast Ageagle Aerial Systems within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by Ageagle Aerial Systems predictions.

Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Ageagle Aerial's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, Ageagle Aerial's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct.

Sentiment

Range

Low	Sentiment	High
0.06	1.13	5.27

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Intrinsic	High
0.05	1.09	5.23

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next	High
0.02	0.99	5.12

Details

Bollinger

Band Projection (param)

Lower	Middle Band	Upper
0.88	1.05	1.23

Details

Ageagle Aerial is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Ageagle Aerial leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Ageagle Aerial investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Ageagle Aerial Systems.

α	Alpha over Dow Jones	0.29	Details
β	Beta against Dow Jones	1.61	Details
σ	Overall volatility	0.08	Details
Ir	Information ratio	0.07	Details

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking Ageagle Aerial through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Ageagle Aerial Systems notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes.

	Ageagle Aerial may become a speculative penny stock
	Ageagle Aerial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
	UAVS reported previous year's revenue of $12.81 million. Net Loss for the year was -$13.06 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of $6.64 million.
	Ageagle Aerial Systems currently holds about $5.3 million in cash as of latest reporting with -$9.96 million of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
	Latest headline from news.google.com: TROOPS Trading 7.1 percent Higher - Should You Buy - Market Beat

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to Ageagle Aerial's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Ageagle Aerial's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	25.05 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	29.86 million

Ageagle Aerial Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price Ageagle Aerial Stock based on their assessment of Ageagle Aerial's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Ageagle Aerial Stock.

	Current Valuation	33.01 M
	Shares Outstanding	58.2 M
	Earnings Per Share	-0.52 X

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Ageagle Aerial measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Comparing drawdown severity across periods reveals whether risk characteristics are stable or shifting. Ageagle Aerial shows ROE of -35.2%, ROA of -17.79% (TTM).

Ageagle Aerial Systems metrics are compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized before display. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board