Target Retirement 2040 Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

URFRX Fund  USD 13.66  0.07  0.51%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0227, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Target Retirement are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Target Retirement is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Target Retirement 2040 are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Target Retirement is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio0.5600
  

Target Retirement Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,350  in Target Retirement 2040 on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  16.00  from holding Target Retirement 2040 or generate 1.19% return on investment over 90 days. Target Retirement 2040 is currently producing 0.02% returns and takes up 0.5636% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Target, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Target Retirement is expected to generate 5.73 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.36 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Target Retirement Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
13.66
Please note that Target Retirement's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Target Retirement 2040 has a current Real Value of $13.62 per share. The regular price of the fund is $13.66. We determine the value of Target Retirement 2040 from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Target Retirement is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Target Mutual Fund. However, Target Retirement's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.66 Real  13.62 Hype  13.66 Naive  13.52
The intrinsic value of Target Retirement's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Target Retirement's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
13.62
Real Value
14.18
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Target Retirement 2040 helps investors to forecast how Target mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Target Retirement more accurately as focusing exclusively on Target Retirement's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.4513.6713.89
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1013.6614.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.9613.5214.08
Details

Target Retirement Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Target Retirement's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Target Retirement 2040, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Target Retirement's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0354

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsURFRX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.56
  actual daily
4
96% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.04
  actual daily
2
98% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Target Retirement is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Target Retirement by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Target Retirement Fundamentals Growth

Target Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Target Retirement, and Target Retirement fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Target Mutual Fund performance.

About Target Retirement Performance

Evaluating Target Retirement's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Target Retirement has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Target Retirement has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The funds target asset allocation will consist of approximately 35 percent of the funds net assets allocated to equity investments and approximately 65 percent of the funds net assets allocated to fixed-income investments. Its target asset allocation will not change after the target date has been reached unless approved by the funds Board of Trustees .

Things to note about Target Retirement 2040 performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Target Retirement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Target Retirement 2040 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 12.13% of its net assets in bonds
Evaluating Target Retirement's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Target Retirement's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Target Retirement's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Target Retirement's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Target Retirement's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Target Retirement's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Target Retirement's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Target Retirement's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Target Retirement's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Target Retirement's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Target Retirement's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Target Mutual Fund

Target Retirement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Target Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Target with respect to the benefits of owning Target Retirement security.
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