VALE3F (Brazil) Performance

VALE3F Stock   86.18  2.09  2.49%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, VALE3F holds a performance score of 19. The firm has a beta of -0.34, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning VALE3F are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, VALE3F is likely to outperform the market. Please check VALE3F's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether VALE3F's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in VALE3F are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat uncertain essential indicators, VALE3F sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

VALE3F Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,501  in VALE3F on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,117  from holding VALE3F or generate 32.56% return on investment over 90 days. VALE3F is generating 0.4983% of daily returns and assumes 1.9867% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 17% of stocks are less volatile than VALE3F, and 90% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VALE3F is expected to generate 2.66 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.66 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

VALE3F Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of VALE3F Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 86.18 90 days 86.18 
about 9.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VALE3F to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.37 (This VALE3F probability density function shows the probability of VALE3F Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VALE3F has a beta of -0.34. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VALE3F are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VALE3F is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VALE3F has an alpha of 0.4224, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VALE3F Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VALE3F

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VALE3F. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.1986.1888.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.0576.0494.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.1183.1085.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.8786.57123.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VALE3F. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VALE3F's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VALE3F's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VALE3F.

VALE3F Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VALE3F is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VALE3F's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VALE3F, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VALE3F within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
8.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

About VALE3F Performance

By analyzing VALE3F's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into VALE3F's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if VALE3F has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if VALE3F has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about VALE3F performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about VALE3F for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for VALE3F help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating VALE3F's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate VALE3F's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing VALE3F's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether VALE3F's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining VALE3F's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating VALE3F's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of VALE3F's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of VALE3F's stock. These opinions can provide insight into VALE3F's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating VALE3F's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact VALE3F's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for VALE3F Stock analysis

When running VALE3F's price analysis, check to measure VALE3F's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VALE3F is operating at the current time. Most of VALE3F's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VALE3F's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VALE3F's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VALE3F to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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