Vertex Stock Performance

VERX Stock  USD 15.73  0.78  5.22%   
The entity has a beta of 1.32, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vertex will likely underperform. At this point, Vertex has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to validate Vertex's maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Vertex performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vertex has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
5.22
Five Day Return
(15.75)
Year To Date Return
(17.25)
Ten Year Return
(34.27)
All Time Return
(34.27)
1
Insider Trading
11/10/2025
2
How Vertex Inc. Class A Common Stock Affects Rotational Strategy Timing - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/12/2025
3
Celsius Holdings Among 3 Value Stocks Trading Below Estimated Worth
12/30/2025
4
Disposition of 55873 shares by David DeStefano of Vertex at 43.64 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
Assessing Vertex Pharmaceuticals Valuation As Recent Share Price Momentum Cools - simplywall.st
01/05/2026
6
Wagner, Vertex Pharmaceuticals evp, sells 4.39m in VRTX stock By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria
01/08/2026
7
Manning Napier Advisors LLC Purchases 241,242 Shares of Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX - MarketBeat
01/14/2026
8
Vertex stock rating upgraded by RBC Capital on promising drug prospects - Investing.com
01/22/2026
9
Disposition of 1359 shares by Ryan Leib of Vertex at 18.55 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
10
Vertex Report U.S. Sees Record-Level Growth in Sales Tax Rates and Rules Changes in 2025 Amid Fiscal Uncertainty
02/03/2026
11
Is Vertex Turning Rising Tax Complexity Into a Lasting Competitive Edge
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow89.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-158.2 M

Vertex Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,919  in Vertex on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (346.00) from holding Vertex or give up 18.03% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vertex is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.9373% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Vertex, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vertex is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Vertex Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vertex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.73 90 days 15.73 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vertex to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Vertex probability density function shows the probability of Vertex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vertex will likely underperform. Additionally Vertex has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vertex Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vertex

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vertex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7515.6918.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7118.6521.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1014.0316.97
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.9826.3629.26
Details

Vertex Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vertex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vertex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vertex, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vertex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Vertex Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vertex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vertex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vertex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vertex currently holds 351.89 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vertex has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vertex's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 666.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 472.63 M.
Over 93.0% of Vertex outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Vertex Turning Rising Tax Complexity Into a Lasting Competitive Edge

Vertex Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vertex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vertex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vertex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding155.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments305.2 M

Vertex Fundamentals Growth

Vertex Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vertex, and Vertex fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vertex Stock performance.

About Vertex Performance

Evaluating Vertex's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vertex has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vertex has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Equity(0.34)(0.32)

Things to note about Vertex performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vertex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vertex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vertex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vertex currently holds 351.89 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vertex has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vertex's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 666.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 472.63 M.
Over 93.0% of Vertex outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Vertex Turning Rising Tax Complexity Into a Lasting Competitive Edge
Evaluating Vertex's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vertex's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vertex's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vertex's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vertex's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vertex's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vertex's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vertex's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vertex's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vertex's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vertex's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Vertex Stock Analysis

When running Vertex's price analysis, check to measure Vertex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vertex is operating at the current time. Most of Vertex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vertex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vertex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vertex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.