Value Line Select Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| VILSX Fund | USD 32.21 0.01 0.03% |
The entity has a beta of 0.0272, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Value Line's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Value Line is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Value Line Select has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Value Line is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...moreValue |
Value Line Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,268 in Value Line Select on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (47.00) from holding Value Line Select or give up 1.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Value Line Select is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.6449% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Value, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Value Line Current Valuation
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Value Line's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Value Line Select has a current Real Value of $31.34 per share. The regular price of the fund is $32.21. We determine the value of Value Line Select from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Value Line is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Value Mutual Fund. However, Value Line's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 32.21 | Real 31.34 | Hype 32.21 | Naive 31.98 |
The intrinsic value of Value Line's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Value Line's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Value Line Select helps investors to forecast how Value mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Value Line more accurately as focusing exclusively on Value Line's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Value Line Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Value Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 32.21 | 90 days | 32.21 | about 19.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Value Line to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.08 (This Value Line Select probability density function shows the probability of Value Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Value Line has a beta of 0.0272. This entails as returns on the market go up, Value Line average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Value Line Select will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Value Line Select has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Value Line Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Value Line
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value Line Select. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Value Line's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Value Line Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Value Line is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Value Line's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Value Line Select, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Value Line within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Value Line Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Value Line for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Value Line Select can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Value Line Select generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps 99.36% of its net assets in stocks |
Value Line Fundamentals Growth
Value Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Value Line, and Value Line fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Value Mutual Fund performance.
| Total Asset | 335.03 M | |||
About Value Line Performance
Evaluating Value Line's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Value Line has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Value Line has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of the funds net assets in a diversified portfolio of U.S. equity securities with favorable growth prospects. Value Line is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.Things to note about Value Line Select performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Value Line for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Value Line Select help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Value Line Select generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps 99.36% of its net assets in stocks |
- Analyzing Value Line's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Value Line's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Value Line's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Value Line's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Value Line's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Value Line's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Value Line's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Value Mutual Fund
Value Line financial ratios help investors to determine whether Value Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Value with respect to the benefits of owning Value Line security.
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