VRG SA (Poland) Performance

VRG Stock   3.49  0.16  0.20%   
VRG SA has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.3, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning VRG SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, VRG SA is likely to outperform the market. VRG SA currently has a risk of 1.6%. Please validate VRG SA total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if VRG SA will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in VRG SA are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, VRG SA may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more
  

VRG SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  454.00  in VRG SA on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  35.00  from holding VRG SA or generate 7.71% return on investment over 90 days. VRG SA is generating 0.1407% of daily returns and assumes 1.604% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 14% of stocks are less volatile than VRG, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VRG SA is expected to generate 2.18 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.18 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

VRG SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of VRG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.89 90 days 4.89 
about 30.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VRG SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.85 (This VRG SA probability density function shows the probability of VRG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VRG SA has a beta of -0.3. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VRG SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VRG SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VRG SA has an alpha of 0.1513, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VRG SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VRG SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VRG SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VRG SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

VRG SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VRG SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VRG SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VRG SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VRG SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Things to note about VRG SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about VRG SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for VRG SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating VRG SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate VRG SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing VRG SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether VRG SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining VRG SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating VRG SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of VRG SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of VRG SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into VRG SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating VRG SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact VRG SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for VRG Stock Analysis

When running VRG SA's price analysis, check to measure VRG SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VRG SA is operating at the current time. Most of VRG SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VRG SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VRG SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VRG SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.