Vanguard Short Duration Etf Performance

VSDB Etf   76.72  0.04  0.05%   
The entity has a beta of 0.025, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Short Duration are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong fundamental indicators, Vanguard Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Vanguard Short Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,568  in Vanguard Short Duration on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  104.00  from holding Vanguard Short Duration or generate 1.37% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Short Duration is currently generating 0.0228% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.1159% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 1% of etfs are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vanguard Short is expected to generate 2.75 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 6.49 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Vanguard Short Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 76.72 90 days 76.72 
about 6.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Short to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.68 (This Vanguard Short Duration probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vanguard Short has a beta of 0.025. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Short Duration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Short Duration has an alpha of 0.0101, implying that it can generate a 0.0101 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Short Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Short Duration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.6076.7276.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.3570.4784.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.6176.7376.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.4176.5676.72
Details

Vanguard Short Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Short Duration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

About Vanguard Short Performance

By analyzing Vanguard Short's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Vanguard Short's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Vanguard Short has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Short has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.