Vital Energy Performance

VTLEDelisted Stock   17.92  0.21  1.16%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Vital Energy holds a performance score of 12. The entity has a beta of 0.61, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vital Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vital Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Vital Energy's skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Vital Energy's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vital Energy are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady essential indicators, Vital Energy exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow14.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.7 B
  

Vital Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,529  in Vital Energy on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  263.00  from holding Vital Energy or generate 17.2% return on investment over 90 days. Vital Energy is currently generating 0.4628% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.0205% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Vital, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vital Energy is expected to generate 4.04 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Vital Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.92 90 days 17.92 
about 18.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vital Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.34 (This Vital Energy probability density function shows the probability of Vital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vital Energy has a beta of 0.61. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vital Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vital Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vital Energy has an alpha of 0.1467, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vital Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vital Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vital Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2518.2721.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8914.9117.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.6517.6720.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.6217.8919.16
Details

Vital Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vital Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vital Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vital Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vital Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Vital Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vital Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vital Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vital Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vital Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Vital Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (173.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.27 B.
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Vital Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vital Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vital Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments40.2 M

Vital Energy Fundamentals Growth

Vital Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vital Energy, and Vital Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vital Stock performance.

About Vital Energy Performance

By analyzing Vital Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Vital Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Vital Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vital Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Vital Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vital Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vital Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vital Energy is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vital Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Vital Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (173.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.27 B.
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Vital Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vital Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vital Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vital Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vital Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vital Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vital Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vital Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vital Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vital Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vital Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Vital Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Vital Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vital Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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