Constellation Software (Germany) Performance

W9C Stock  EUR 1,574  14.00  0.90%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Constellation Software's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Constellation Software is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Constellation Software has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to confirm Constellation Software's daily balance of power, price action indicator, and the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Constellation Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Constellation Software has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0011
1
Constellation Software Jefferies Cuts Target Forecast on AI Concerns - The Globe and Mail
11/10/2025
2
1 Magnificent TSX Stock Down 35 percent to Buy and Hold Forever - Yahoo Finance Canada
11/17/2025
3
Heres Why We Think Constellation Software Is Well Worth Watching - Yahoo Finance
11/26/2025
4
Best Stock to Buy Right Now Shopify vs. Constellation Software - MSN
12/23/2025
5
Down 38, This Magnificent Canadian Stock Could Be the Biggest Bargain on the TSX Today - Yahoo Finance Canada
01/06/2026
6
Where Will Constellation Software Stock Be in 5 Years -
01/13/2026
7
Constellation should be able to withstand the AI threat to software stocks - The Globe and Mail
01/29/2026
  

Constellation Software Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  214,412  in Constellation Software on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (57,012) from holding Constellation Software or give up 26.59% of portfolio value over 90 days. Constellation Software is producing return of less than zero assuming 2.2907% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 20% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Constellation Software, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Constellation Software is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.08 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Constellation Software Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Constellation Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,574 90 days 1,574 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Constellation Software to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Constellation Software probability density function shows the probability of Constellation Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Constellation Software has a beta of 0.17. This entails as returns on the market go up, Constellation Software average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Constellation Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Constellation Software has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Constellation Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Constellation Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Constellation Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5591,5621,731
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4671,4691,731
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,5091,5121,514
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,4671,8462,224
Details

Constellation Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Constellation Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Constellation Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Constellation Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Constellation Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
179.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Constellation Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Constellation Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Constellation Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Constellation Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Constellation should be able to withstand the AI threat to software stocks - The Globe and Mail

Constellation Software Fundamentals Growth

Constellation Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Constellation Software, and Constellation Software fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Constellation Stock performance.

About Constellation Software Performance

Assessing Constellation Software's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Constellation Software's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Constellation Software is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Constellation Software is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on MU exchange.

Things to note about Constellation Software performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Constellation Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Constellation Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Constellation Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Constellation should be able to withstand the AI threat to software stocks - The Globe and Mail
Evaluating Constellation Software's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Constellation Software's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Constellation Software's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Constellation Software's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Constellation Software's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Constellation Software's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Constellation Software's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Constellation Software's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Constellation Software's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Constellation Software's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Constellation Software's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Constellation Stock Analysis

When running Constellation Software's price analysis, check to measure Constellation Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Constellation Software is operating at the current time. Most of Constellation Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Constellation Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Constellation Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Constellation Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.