Western Digital Stock Performance

WDC Stock  USD 272.29  11.11  4.25%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Western Digital holds a performance score of 13. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 2.88, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. With a beta above 1, Western Digital typically delivers outsized gains in rising markets at the cost of steeper drawdowns. Please confirm Western Digital's skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change, to make a quick decision on whether Western Digital's historical returns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Balanced
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Western Digital rank lower than 13% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of rather unfluctuating fundamental indicators, Western Digital exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
4.25
 Five Day Return
8.92
 Year To Date Return
45.07
 Ten Year Return
647.84
 All Time Return
5.1 K
 Forward Dividend Yield
0.0018
 Payout Ratio
0.0649
 Last Split Factor
1323:1000
 Forward Dividend Rate
0.5
 Dividend Date
2026-03-18
Begin Period Cash Flow1.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities150 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 17,196 in Western Digital on December 14, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 10,033 from holding Western Digital or generated 58.34% return on investment over 90 days. Western Digital is generating a 0.8848% daily return assuming volatility of 5.1542% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 46% of stocks are less volatile than Western, and above 83% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Considering the 90-day investment horizon Western Digital is expected to generate 6.51 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

A fundamental principle of stock forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. For Western Stock, this mean-reverting tendency has been a useful tool for valuation. Still, some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings that are only corrected when buying and selling pressure realign.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
272.29 90 days 272.29
about 18.79
According to our probability model, the chance of Western Digital moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.79 (This probability chart for Western Digital depicts the range of likely prices for Western Stock over a 90-day horizon).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.88 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Western Digital will likely underperform. Additionally, Western Digital has an alpha of 0.9647, implying that it can generate a 0.9647 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Western Digital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Western Digital

Predicting the direction of Western Digital and the broader stock market involves a range of quantitative and qualitative techniques. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling future scenarios is a valuable part of investment decision-making. Comparing results from different methods helps investors gauge the confidence level of their predictions.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Western Digital's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
267.14272.29277.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
248.08253.23299.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
269.01274.17279.32
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
292.11321.00356.31
Details
Competitive analysis for Western Digital compares its financial performance, valuation multiples, and growth trajectory against sector peers. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Primary Risk Indicators

Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity for stock investors. Western Digital has seen its share of dramatic price swings during this period. Implementing a hedging strategy and tracking Western Digital's volatility and elasticity can help investors in Western Digital limit the impact of adverse market moves.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.96
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.88
σ
Overall volatility
43.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Investor Alerts and Insights

Real-time alerts for Western Digital allow investors to track important stock developments as they happen. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Western Digital helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced into the market.
Western Digital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Western Digital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from androidcentral.com: Your Galaxy Z Flip 8 might leave out a battery upgrade this year

Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when uncertainty rises among traders holding long positions. The future price of Western Stock depends not only on investor outlook but also on the dynamics between participants with different trading approaches. Because risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Western Digital's short-sentiment indicators are summarized below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding359 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

Western Digital Fundamentals Growth

Investors assess Western Stock by examining Western Digital's underlying financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels are among the most closely watched fundamentals that shape Western Stock market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Western Digital performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Relative performance helps interpret behavior versus benchmarks or category peers. Western Digital shows ROE of 41.13%, ROA of 9.15%.

For Western Digital, this section uses periodic company reporting and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Intraday timing differences may exist. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Vlad Skutelnik - Macroaxis Contributor