Xcel Energy Stock Performance

XEL Stock  USD 76.01  0.32  0.42%   
The firm maintains a market beta of 0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Xcel Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Xcel Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Xcel Energy has a negative expected return of -0.0919%. Please make sure to check out Xcel Energy's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Xcel Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Xcel Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent technical and fundamental indicators, Xcel Energy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.42)
Five Day Return
0.86
Year To Date Return
1.78
Ten Year Return
98.87
All Time Return
939.81
Forward Dividend Yield
0.03
Payout Ratio
0.6951
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
2.28
Dividend Date
2026-01-20
1
Climate Sciences Global Mothership Is Crashing
12/18/2025
2
Many Jefferson County residents felt left in the dark after planned Colorado power outages
12/19/2025
3
Acquisition by Burkhart Megan D of 644 shares of Xcel Energy subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
4
Xcel Energy Expands Giving, Supports Communities and Nonprofits in 2025
12/29/2025
5
Nearby businesses still impacted after Denver apartment complex construction fire Were struggling
01/08/2026
6
BW selects Siemens Energy turbines for 1GW data centre power project
01/09/2026
7
What to Expect From Xcel Energys Q4 2025 Earnings Report
01/12/2026
8
Expanded Data Center Load Strategy Could Be A Game Changer For Xcel Energy
01/13/2026
9
Xcel Energy 2025 Year End Earnings Conference Call
01/16/2026
 
Xcel Energy dividend paid on 20th of January 2026
01/20/2026
10
Xcel Energy a Worlds Most Admired Company for Twelfth Year
01/21/2026
11
Federated Hermes Inc. Raises Stake in Xcel Energy Inc. XEL
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow129 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7.4 B

Xcel Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,055  in Xcel Energy on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (454.00) from holding Xcel Energy or give up 5.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Xcel Energy is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 0.9823% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 8% of stocks are less volatile than Xcel, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Xcel Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Xcel Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Xcel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 76.01 90 days 76.01 
about 62.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xcel Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.7 (This Xcel Energy probability density function shows the probability of Xcel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Xcel Energy has a beta of 0.15. This entails as returns on the market go up, Xcel Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xcel Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Xcel Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Xcel Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xcel Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xcel Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xcel Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.0376.0176.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.4276.4077.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.5474.5275.50
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
79.0686.8896.44
Details

Xcel Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xcel Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xcel Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xcel Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xcel Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Xcel Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xcel Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xcel Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xcel Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 20th of January 2026 Xcel Energy paid $ 0.57 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Harvest Partners Announces Firmwide Promotions

Xcel Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xcel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xcel Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xcel Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding563 M
Cash And Short Term Investments179 M

Xcel Energy Fundamentals Growth

Xcel Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Xcel Energy, and Xcel Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Xcel Stock performance.

About Xcel Energy Performance

By examining Xcel Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Xcel Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Xcel Energy is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 38.33  44.90 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.07 

Things to note about Xcel Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xcel Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Xcel Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xcel Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 20th of January 2026 Xcel Energy paid $ 0.57 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Harvest Partners Announces Firmwide Promotions
Evaluating Xcel Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Xcel Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Xcel Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Xcel Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Xcel Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Xcel Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Xcel Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Xcel Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Xcel Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Xcel Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Xcel Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Xcel Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xcel Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xcel Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xcel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xcel Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
For more information on how to buy Xcel Stock please use our How to buy in Xcel Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Energy. Anticipated expansion of Xcel directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Xcel Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
2.26
Earnings Share
3.28
Revenue Per Share
24.457
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.074
Investors evaluate Xcel Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Xcel Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Xcel Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xcel Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xcel Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Xcel Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.