Stellar Performance

XLM Crypto  USD 0.21  0.00  0.00%   
The entity has a beta of 0.19, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Stellar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Stellar is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Stellar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's primary indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Stellar shareholders. ...more
1
Cryptocurrency Billionaires Space Startup In Talks For 2 Billion Valuation - Forbes
12/15/2025
2
Bitcoin Price, Crypto Stocks Fall. Theres No Crypto Rally in Sight. - Barrons
12/23/2025
3
MSTR Stock Strategy and Other Crypto Treasuries Face a Dangerous Spiral. - Barrons
12/30/2025
4
How Crypto Is Used for Political Corruption - The Atlantic
01/16/2026
  

Stellar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  30.00  in Stellar on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (9.00) from holding Stellar or give up 30.0% of portfolio value over 90 days. Stellar is producing return of less than zero assuming 3.9679% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 35% of all crypto coins have less volatile historical return distribution than Stellar, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Stellar is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Stellar Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Stellar Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.21 90 days 0.21 
about 83.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stellar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.26 (This Stellar probability density function shows the probability of Stellar Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Stellar has a beta of 0.19. This entails as returns on the market go up, Stellar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stellar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stellar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stellar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stellar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stellar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.214.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.204.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.194.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.220.24
Details

Stellar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stellar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stellar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stellar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stellar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Stellar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stellar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stellar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stellar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Stellar has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Stellar has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Crypto Is Used for Political Corruption - The Atlantic

About Stellar Performance

By analyzing Stellar's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Stellar's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Stellar has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Stellar has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Stellar is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
Stellar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Stellar has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Stellar has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Crypto Is Used for Political Corruption - The Atlantic
When determining whether Stellar offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Stellar's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Stellar Crypto.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Stellar. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stellar's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Stellar value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Stellar's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.