Monero Performance

XMR Crypto  USD 381.26  0.28  0.07%   
The crypto secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.32, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Monero's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Monero is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Monero are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Monero exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Branch County woman loses thousands in cryptocurrency scam - WWMT
12/09/2025
2
Crypto winter looms in 2026, but Cantor sees institutional growth and onchain shifts - CoinDesk
12/29/2025
3
Nomura-backed crypto group Laser Digital seeks US banking licence - Financial Times
01/27/2026
  

Monero Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  36,567  in Monero on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,559  from holding Monero or generate 4.26% return on investment over 90 days. Monero is generating 0.3068% of daily returns assuming 7.3785% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 66% of all crypto coins have less volatile historical return distribution than Monero, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Monero is expected to generate 9.79 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.79 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Monero Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Monero Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 381.26 90 days 381.26 
about 77.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monero to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.11 (This Monero probability density function shows the probability of Monero Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Monero has a beta of 0.32. This entails as returns on the market go up, Monero average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Monero will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Monero has an alpha of 0.3681, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Monero Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Monero

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monero. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
374.27381.59388.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
372.61379.93387.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
273.49280.81288.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
317.79499.06680.33
Details

Monero Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monero is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monero's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monero, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monero within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
76.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Monero Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monero for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monero can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monero had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nomura-backed crypto group Laser Digital seeks US banking licence - Financial Times

About Monero Performance

By analyzing Monero's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Monero's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Monero has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Monero has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Monero is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
Monero had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Nomura-backed crypto group Laser Digital seeks US banking licence - Financial Times
When determining whether Monero offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Monero's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Monero Crypto.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Monero. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Monero's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Monero value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Monero's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.