ZTO Express (Brazil) Performance

Z1TO34 Stock   29.28  0.00  0.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, ZTO Express holds a performance score of 12. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, ZTO Express' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ZTO Express is expected to be smaller as well. Please check ZTO Express' treynor ratio, value at risk, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether ZTO Express' historical returns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ZTO Express are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, ZTO Express sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

ZTO Express Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,524  in ZTO Express on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  404.00  from holding ZTO Express or generate 16.01% return on investment over 90 days. ZTO Express is generating 0.2651% of daily returns and assumes 1.6806% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 15% of stocks are less volatile than ZTO, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ZTO Express is expected to generate 2.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

ZTO Express Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ZTO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.28 90 days 29.28 
about 16.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ZTO Express to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.56 (This ZTO Express probability density function shows the probability of ZTO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ZTO Express has a beta of 0.11. This usually means as returns on the market go up, ZTO Express average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ZTO Express will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ZTO Express has an alpha of 0.1978, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ZTO Express Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ZTO Express

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZTO Express. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ZTO Express. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ZTO Express' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ZTO Express' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ZTO Express.

ZTO Express Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ZTO Express is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ZTO Express' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ZTO Express, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ZTO Express within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
1.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Things to note about ZTO Express performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ZTO Express for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ZTO Express help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating ZTO Express' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ZTO Express' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ZTO Express' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ZTO Express' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ZTO Express' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ZTO Express' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ZTO Express' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ZTO Express' stock. These opinions can provide insight into ZTO Express' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ZTO Express' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ZTO Express' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running ZTO Express' price analysis, check to measure ZTO Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ZTO Express is operating at the current time. Most of ZTO Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ZTO Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ZTO Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ZTO Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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